Peter - Cracking Markets (@systematicpeter) 's Twitter Profile
Peter - Cracking Markets

@systematicpeter

Systematic trader, fund manager. Web: crackingmarkets.com

ID: 1563809679469428738

calendar_today28-08-2022 08:44:26

277 Tweet

1,1K Followers

27 Following

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Struggling to build your first systematic trading model? 🤔 Don't start from scratch. Use a proven foundation — like the RSI2 Mean-Reversion Strategy — and learn by modifying it. Here’s a complete, backtest-ready example you can build on 👇 📊 Strategy: RSI2 Mean-Reversion

Struggling to build your first systematic trading model? 🤔

Don't start from scratch.

Use a proven foundation — like the RSI2 Mean-Reversion Strategy — and learn by modifying it.

Here’s a complete, backtest-ready example you can build on 👇

📊 Strategy: RSI2 Mean-Reversion
Peter - Cracking Markets (@systematicpeter) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Live trading a Bitcoin intraday volatility breakout system alongside Nasdaq & the S&P 500. It's definitely struggling with the current sideways markets, but still nicely up since I started. Impressive for an ultra-simple system with the same settings for all markets. (Executing

Live trading a Bitcoin intraday volatility breakout system alongside Nasdaq & the S&P 500.

It's definitely struggling with the current sideways markets, but still nicely up since I started. Impressive for an ultra-simple system with the same settings for all markets.

(Executing
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Stop letting backtests fool you! 🛑 A good-looking backtest doesn't guarantee a robust trading strategy. It's often just a curve-fitted illusion. Here's how to find a real edge: 1/ First, visualize the relationship. Create a scatter plot with a regression line showing your

Stop letting backtests fool you! 🛑 A good-looking backtest doesn't guarantee a robust trading strategy. It's often just a curve-fitted illusion.

Here's how to find a real edge:

1/ First, visualize the relationship. Create a scatter plot with a regression line showing your
Peter - Cracking Markets (@systematicpeter) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Most traders give up before this: New all-time equity curve high for my volatility breakout system—with just a 41.4% win rate. Yesterday, a single 6R short in $NQ did all the heavy lifting. 📈 This is from my live IBKR account, net of all fees & slippage. Momentum trading

Most traders give up before this: New all-time equity curve high for my volatility breakout system—with just a 41.4% win rate.
Yesterday, a single 6R short in $NQ did all the heavy lifting.

📈 This is from my live IBKR account, net of all fees & slippage.

Momentum trading
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A picture is worth a thousand trades. This is what a profitable intraday momentum trading system actually looks like. The circled wins pay for everything else. The hardest part? Having the discipline to wait for them. #Trading #Discipline

A picture is worth a thousand trades.

This is what a profitable intraday momentum trading system actually looks like. The circled wins pay for everything else.

The hardest part? Having the discipline to wait for them.

#Trading #Discipline
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Most traders chase CAGR. But 10% return on 15% capital can outperform full-cap systems. That’s the power of capital efficiency—and when you stack uncorrelated systems, you can boost returns and slash risk. Here’s a real Nasdaq pullback strategy using just 15% capital — with

Most traders chase CAGR.
But 10% return on 15% capital can outperform full-cap systems.

That’s the power of capital efficiency—and when you stack uncorrelated systems, you can boost returns and slash risk.

Here’s a real Nasdaq pullback strategy using just 15% capital — with
Peter - Cracking Markets (@systematicpeter) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Do you expose your trading server to the internet with RDP? You're playing with fire. Most traders use VPS for execution but ignore basic security. Windows RDP (port 3389) is one of the most scanned and attacked services online. Bots will find it in minutes. And if it’s open to

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Spent the last week deep-diving into long swing mean reversion on US stocks. Tested many entry/exit variations, but two simple approaches keep delivering strong results: RSI + time-based stop-loss Z-Score + time-based stop-loss Both performed well against more complex factors

Spent the last week deep-diving into long swing mean reversion on US stocks.

Tested many entry/exit variations, but two simple approaches keep delivering strong results:

RSI + time-based stop-loss

Z-Score + time-based stop-loss

Both performed well against more complex factors
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NDX rotation momentum is waking up in 2025 🚀 PLTR is leading the charge. Momentum can be a great core of a systematic portfolio — and it doesn’t need to be complex: 🟢 Rank stocks by momentum each month 🟢 Hold top X names 🟢 Rotate monthly 🟢 Optionally add a context filter

NDX rotation momentum is waking up in 2025 🚀
PLTR is leading the charge.

Momentum can be a great core of a systematic portfolio — and it doesn’t need to be complex:

🟢 Rank stocks by momentum each month
🟢 Hold top X names
🟢 Rotate monthly
🟢 Optionally add a context filter
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Most traders fear shorting stocks. I’ve made it my edge. Since 2021, I’ve executed 1,000+ live short mean reversion trades on US stocks. Here’s exactly what works (and what doesn’t): ✅ Short overpriced stocks via limit orders ✅ Exit on profit target or stop-loss ✅ Hold max 2

Most traders fear shorting stocks.
I’ve made it my edge.

Since 2021, I’ve executed 1,000+ live short mean reversion trades on US stocks.
Here’s exactly what works (and what doesn’t):

✅ Short overpriced stocks via limit orders
✅ Exit on profit target or stop-loss
✅ Hold max 2
Peter - Cracking Markets (@systematicpeter) 's Twitter Profile Photo

ChatGPT-5 is powerful, but not always the best choice for developing systematic trading strategies. Legacy models (like 4o) can sometimes handle coding/data tasks more efficiently. 💡 Pro tip: In Settings, enable additional models (including legacy ones) and switch depending on

ChatGPT-5 is powerful, but not always the best choice for developing systematic trading strategies.

Legacy models (like 4o) can sometimes handle coding/data tasks more efficiently.
💡 Pro tip: In Settings, enable additional models (including legacy ones) and switch depending on
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This chart is a trader's nightmare and a professional's reality. You short the low of the day. It immediately reverses. You're stopped out for a loss. Your gut screams: "REVENGE TRADE!" This is the moment that separates amateurs from pros. The amateur lets emotion take over.

This chart is a trader's nightmare and a professional's reality.

You short the low of the day.
It immediately reverses.
You're stopped out for a loss.

Your gut screams: "REVENGE TRADE!"

This is the moment that separates amateurs from pros. The amateur lets emotion take over.
Peter - Cracking Markets (@systematicpeter) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Doubling $10k with trading? You’ve picked one of the hardest games in existence. If your goal is to turn $10k into $20k fast, running a side business, flipping products, or offering a service will be far easier than trying to do it in the markets. Trading is one of the toughest

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Most traders ignore post-earnings moves… but they seem to be a goldmine when traded systematically. Just saw this verified Kinfo trader: kinfo.com/portfolio/3006… — likely trading long/short equities right after earnings, holding for just one day. No CAGR or Sharpe shown, but

Most traders ignore post-earnings moves… but they seem to be a goldmine when traded systematically.

Just saw this verified Kinfo trader:
kinfo.com/portfolio/3006…
 — likely trading long/short equities right after earnings, holding for just one day.

No CAGR or Sharpe shown, but
Peter - Cracking Markets (@systematicpeter) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Most trading advice online = theory without proof. This channel is different → traders openly share their ideas backed by verified track records. Real equity curves. Real strategies. Practical lessons. Great inspiration for anyone serious about trading 👇

Most trading advice online = theory without proof.

This channel is different → traders openly share their ideas backed by verified track records.

Real equity curves. Real strategies. Practical lessons.

Great inspiration for anyone serious about trading 👇
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Mean Reversion (purple) vs. Momentum (green). MR looks steady, almost “too perfect.” Momentum swings, but survives storms. Lesson I’ve learned: the smoothest curve isn’t always the safest. Longevity comes from blending uncorrelated edges. #SystematicTrading #Diversification

Mean Reversion (purple) vs. Momentum (green).
MR looks steady, almost “too perfect.” Momentum swings, but survives storms.

Lesson I’ve learned: the smoothest curve isn’t always the safest.
Longevity comes from blending uncorrelated edges.

#SystematicTrading #Diversification
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Looking for an edge? Stop trading only the US. I run the same mean reversion system on US vs. Canadian stocks. 👉 Combined equity (blue) = smoother thanks to low correlation. And yes — Canada outperformed. Less crowded markets = bigger expectancy. Do you test your strategies

Looking for an edge? Stop trading only the US.

I run the same mean reversion system on US vs. Canadian stocks.
👉 Combined equity (blue) = smoother thanks to low correlation.

And yes — Canada outperformed.
Less crowded markets = bigger expectancy.

Do you test your strategies