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Trump’s new tariffs aren’t a trade tweak—they’re the first move in a full-spectrum reset. $9.2T in debt matures in 2025. Inflation lingers. Alliances are shifting. One announcement just set a dozen wheels in motion. Here’s what’s really happening—and why it matters 🧵

How to push yields down with sticky inflation and cautious Fed? Manufacture uncertainty. Sweep in with tariffs, spook the markets, trigger risk-off. Money exits stocks, floods into long-term Treasuries. A deliberate “detox” to cool the economy and cut refinancing costs.

Lines will be redrawn with other allies too. Europe may be pushed to cut exposure to China or negotiate on Ukraine. India may be forced to cut tarriffs and move closer to U.S. alignment. Mexico and Canada could face demands to crack down on fentanyl trafficking routes.

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