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Steven Mazie

@stevenmazie

I cover SCOTUS @TheEconomist and teach @BHSEC. Brooklynite, @UMich pol science PhD, dad of three, runner. Views here are mine.

calendar_today13-03-2012 18:05:19

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Dreeben: Trump's position would license presidential bribery, sedition, murder and let Trump 'perpetuate himself in power' to 'subvert democracy'

As for potential abuses: there are layers of protections with Article III courts providing the ultimate protection.

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Justice Thomas: is there no pres immunity even for official acts?

D: yes. President as head of Art II branch can assert doctrine re fulfilling Art II powers. But no blanket immunity.

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Roberts: former president can be prosecuted because he's being prosecuted? That's tautologically true, and problematic. It's often easy to get a grand jury to bring an indictment. Should we rely on good faith of the prosecutor?

Let's send it back to lower court, maybe?

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Alito: former president does have form of special protection, you seem to agree.

D: yes, due to general principle of avoiding constitutional questions.

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Kav back on his clear-statement kick

Dreeben: this court's cases and OLC opinions do not speak that broadly - no need for every criminal statute to specifically name the president

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Dreeben says a balanced interest incorporates both protection AND accountability for the president.

Bribery statute does not name the president...

Gorsuch jumps in: some core functions of the executive that can be immunized? you concede Congress cannot criminalize some things.

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3 things are clear:
(1) nobody is inclined to grant absolute immunity, BUT
(2) the conservatives are not happy with the black-and-white DC circuit ruling against Trump, WHICH MEANS
(3) the ruling *won't* come quickly and will likely call for further proceedings in lower courts

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So, big picture: the (already slim) chances of Jack Smith actually getting his 2020 election-subversion case in front of a jury before the 2024 election are dwindling before our eyes.

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