The Trump betting market momentum is all speculation. I think Trump will win the debate, I don’t think Trump will step on a rake, I think Trump getting sentenced will help him. The bottom line is Trump is getting his ass kicked in the polls.
Prediction: Trump beats Harris in the debate but comes across as a bully, putting her down multiple times. Trump's poll numbers decrease slightly as Independent voters sympathize with Harris.
I know for a fact Trump is less popular with Republicans. He will have fewer Republicans voting for him in 2024 than in 2020. The key to the election is how many Indies who voted for Biden in 2020 switch to Trump.
Just spent 30+ minutes on the phone with my IT tech guy who lives in the reddest of red states and says he absolutely will not vote for Trump. This guy’s a conservative who says integrity isn’t too much to expect in our political leaders. I didn’t say a word, just let him talk.