How can I bet my entire net worth taking the over on these projections

Outside of the Presidential, one of the most important and exciting races this cycle is Lucas Kunce for Senate. Lucas is a Democrat, Marine, real intellectual + college athlete, and most important: v thoughtful, genuine guy about how to bring wealth to working class people in

I feel a little burst of joy with every Waymo I see

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We worked with Kei on many creative endeavors early on in our journey, including the ideation and development of our logo (below). The attributes we want to embody in our platform — simplifying complexity, responsiveness, cohesion & organization, discipline, and

I have blogged! TL;DR LLMs have huge value in very technical business development such as developing clean energy projects — check it out to see an example of how Halcyon works and please share any thoughts and reactions. 💜⚡️

Beliefs as I spend more time with LLMs: 1. Their reading abilities are more powerful/valuable than their writing 2. The comparative advantage of LLMs against people is near-zero time/money cost of more thinking, rather than better thinking. If we can ask a few smart questions

After a recent price reduction by OpenAI, GPT-4o tokens now cost $4 per million tokens (using a blended rate that assumes 80% input and 20% output tokens). GPT-4 cost $36 per million tokens at its initial release in March 2023. This price reduction over 17 months corresponds to

Every book from Stripe Press is good! What an awesome project. Starting Piece of the Action now and loving it, and have read 4-5 others off the list and loved (including some v conservative books like Where is my Flying Car that I broadly disagreed with but still loved).

In addition to believing Stripe Press doesn't miss, I also believe Ezra Klein doesn't miss, so, as I expected, this Ezra Klein review of a Stripe Press book is excellent!

It’s amazing how fast Rewiring America has gone from founding to setting a national distributed renewable energy / electrification agenda

Wonder if AI will replace business consulting. Its mostly just talking to a lot of people, synthesizing that information, applying playbooks, and cranking out materials. All seems pretty doable.

From noted socialist, Goldman Sachs

Tremendous article by Nat Bullard! Also, across my career at Station A greenwork and Halcyon I have certainly learned: people love maps! 🗺️

I am late to the party, but the show Hacks is so good! It hits the rare sweet spot of funny and light, but also very smart.

VP Dick Cheney’s official endorsement of VP Harris #RepublicansForHarris