Models are showing a large ridge developing over the eastern U.S. as we head into next week. These setups often lead to an increase in severe weather potential toward the end of the pattern, and current guidance is hinting at that possibility later next week. Still far out.

Guidance has been favoring large-scale east coast ridging mid next week with some troughing likely upstream; the potency and timing is highly uncertain but this would be our next period to watch for NE severe weather. Until then, nothing notable on the horizon!

Very saturated air in place this morning and CAPE already up to 2000 J/kg. Surprisingly strong wind shear is present, reaching 40 knots, along with respectable mid-level lapse rates. Forcing remains limited, but orographic lift could still trigger a few solid pop ups IMO.

Little sea breeze driven pop up near Norwich CT

Showers developing off the berks driven by orographic lift:

Today performed decent but nothing here sadly.

For storms generated off of orographic lift, they came together quite nicely and actually didn’t collapse as soon as they formed. This is thanks to strong wind shear and decent instability.

I swear if I get missed by a mile again…

WE MIGHT JUST BE COOKING UP A SHELFIE!!!!

Hater

Hell yeah

I might just have to deactivate my account because this hobby is driving me nuts 💔

Nice little shelf cloud from the Springfield MA area looking north at the outflow from those backbuilding storms in eastern Hampden County. Western Mass Weather SNE Amateur Radio Skywarn

As this mess of showers and storms continues to push northeast overnight, it may spawn a weak low which could spawn some showers/thunderstorms across SNE tomorrow around dawn.

Me and Comrade Chasing getting slabbed tomorrow at 6am.

Hamden–New Haven, CT F4 #Tornado – July 10, 1989! Part of a major Northeast outbreak, this was one of only two F4 tornadoes on record in Connecticut. It tore through Hamden, destroying 350 homes and 40 businesses. Over 30 streets were blocked by fallen trees. There were 40

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected through the afternoon and evening. A few strong to severe storms are possible, mainly across northern and western areas. Storms should remain west of the coast and SNE, where an easterly flow will help stabilize the atmosphere.

Worlds gonna go to shit soon with how retarded some people are nowadays.

Fr y’all better watch out