I struggled with this one...tough storm...first of the season...brutal forecast. Here’s my first call. Will tweak as necessary.

My first call for Saturday afternoon and evening snow before the changeover to rain across most of SNE. Hopefully a conservative start.

Yesterday's rain made for some wet eagles! The Day Josh Cingranelli @TimNBCBoston Ryan Hanrahan Bart Connors Szczarba eweather SNE Weather

Saw this rainbow ring around the sun yesterday on the CT river. Anyone know what causes this?

Lots to watch regarding Isaias. For our area the two areas to watch regarding track potential is the trough to our west and the Bermuda ridge. Latest GFS shows the trough may be trying to tilt more neutral rather than positive. Very far away so we will keep an eye on trends

What a sunrise this morning! Gil Simmons SNE Weather

If the upper low gets closed off like the Euro shows....... look out

Should have a notable shift north on the 0z GFS based on 500mb velocity out to hour 30. Let’s see

0z GFS from last night compared to the current 0z run. Slowly but surely falling in line with other models each consecutive run.

So when do we talk about early next week 🤔

Sometimes it’s easier to take a step back and look at the simple things. The high has trended stronger each run on the RGEM. I’ll bet on a strong high over this weak of a storm system. GFS and Euro look good. Here’s the 18z RGEM now compared to 24 hours ago. Watch that high!

Working on my snow map now. Should be out before 9pm.

Here’s my snow map for Wednesday night into Thursday. Most areas see a nice storm. Tough call in SE areas with possible sleet mixing in. It will come down to the wire to see how much mixes. Enjoy!

Nearly every single mesoscale model with a shift south and east as expected. Strong high always under modeled especially with this weak of a surface low. Forecast still stands.

HRRR dumping snow across all of the region at 10pm

So now is it time to talk about early next week?

These aren’t finalized totals but let me know how my map worked for you guys. I definitely busted up north

“Weather weenies”: 1 Hanrahan: 0

@MattNBCBoston eweather Mike Bettes SNE Weather Stephanie Abrams New England Weather High Head beach Truro

Clouds ahead of the storm in Killingworth! eweather