The Islamic Republic of Iran continues to intentionally underestimate casualty counts due to a desire to project strength. But one of the most respected human rights groups, which has a history of accurately reporting death and injury counts in Iran (including during the 2022

How vulnerable is #Iran’s leadership after key figures were killed in recent strikes? Former US Assistant Secretary of State Jeffrey Feltman answers. #GNT

Over the years, senior figures in the Islamic Republic have made countless callous statements about the suffering of ordinary people in Iran. But I don’t think I’ve ever seen a statement as callous and condescending as this one, which suggests that Iranians who are condemning

JUST IN: At least 657 dead and 2,037 injured in Israeli strikes on Iran, according to US-based Human Rights Activists News Agency.

BREAKING: CBS News reports that both US and European diplomats have confirmed there are 'confidential conversations about who would lead Iran next' and 'whether the nuclear sites and material can be secured'

NEW: Amwaj.media can confirm that Iran's supreme leader has indeed ordered Assembly of Experts to be ready to select his successor immediately. This suggests he takes Israel's insinuations of assassination seriously but confident in the state's resilience amwaj.media/en/article/ins…

1/10 The US bombing of Iran's nuclear facilities is an unprecedented event that may prove to be transformational for Iran, the Middle East, US foreign policy, global non-proliferation, and potentially even the global order. Its impact will be measured for decades to come. 🧵

2 Trump indicated this is now the time for peace. It’s unclear and unlikely the Iranians will see it the same way. This is more likely to open a new chapter of the 46-year-old US-Iran war than conclude it.

3 Many of Iran's retaliatory options are the strategic equivalent of a suicide bombing. They can strike US embassies and bases, attack oil facilities in the Persian Gulf, mine the Strait of Hormuz, or rain missiles on Israel—but the regime may not survive the blowback.

4 Tehran’s regional power has eroded. Its strongest ally—Assad’s Syria—is gone. Its most effective proxies—Hezbollah and Hamas—are decimated. Iraqi Shia militias are chastened. How will Yemen's Houthis react?

5 What are the environmental/radiological consequences of dropping a 30K bomb on a uranium enrichment facility? Fordow is 30 miles from Qom, the Shiite Vatican of Iran, one of the Islamic Republic’s most important cities

6 What does Khamenei do now? He’s long believed if you cave in to pressure it will project weakness and invite more of it. Yet he’s the longest serving dictator in the world, ie not a reckless gambler. His survival instincts and defiant instincts are in great tension now.

7 How do the Revolutionary Guards react? They are a 190k-strong military, not monolithic. Do they continue to defer to the 86-year-old Khamenei as their commander in chief, though his regional and nuclear ambitions have now ended in colossal failure?

8 Iran’s nuclear program, when considering sunk costs and sanctions, has cost the nation at least $500b. It provided the nation neither nuclear energy nor deterrence. How can the regime avenge this enormous humiliation?

9 How does the Iranian population react? For many this is a traumatic, humiliating event that won't be forgotten. The 1953 CIA-led coup of Iranian Prime Minister Mossadegh is still invoked 72 years later. But history also shows that even deep wounds—Japan, Vietnam—can heal.

10 This is an unprecedented moment in Iranian history. It could entrench the regime--or hasten its demise. It could prevent a nuclear Iran--or accelerate one. Military attacks/humiliations have both strengthened dictatorships (Iran 1980) and weakened them (Argentina, Milosevic)

'US strikes won't end Iran's nuclear programme' Former US diplomat Alan Eyre speaks with Yalda Hakim about the future of Iran's nuclear programme. Latest: trib.al/Dmu4EuQ

Trump’s strikes do not have the be the opening salvo of a US-Iran war. If Iran retaliates, it will calibrate its response to avoid the loss of American lives. Mainly, Iran will absorb the US attacks on the nuclear facilities, betting that Trump still wants to avoid a full-blown

U.S. calls on China to prevent Iran from closing Strait of Hormuz and disrupting global oil flows cnbc.com/2025/06/22/us-…