Germany's short-time work scheme (Kurzarbeit) has gained a lot of attention. In a new WP, we provide the first estimates of its impact during the COVID crisis: imf.org/-/media/Files/…

How should policymakers prepare for the next shocks as the pandemic affects trade and value chains? Join us for a conversation with IMF economist Adil Mohommad and POLITICO’s Doug Palmer on a new IMF research. imf.org/WEO-apr22 #GlobalTrade x.com/i/broadcasts/1…

We need to invest in better crisis resilience systems. JOIN ME and development experts from around the 🌎to 💬how we can be more prepared for the overlapping, multi-sectoral crises of tomorrow. ⏰29 Sept ➡️REGISTER bit.ly/3BI8m8t 💡#DEVat60 | #DevTalks | @OECD_Centre

WATCH NOW: How to Build a More Resilient World in a Multi-Crisis Era - #DEVat60 | #DevTalks x.com/i/broadcasts/1…

Global Geo-Economic-Fragmentation The Aiyar at al paper for IMF is a really fascinating exercise in thinking about damage-limitation. h/t @TatjanaSchulze_ imf.org/en/Publication…

Behind the border: As the geo-economic system fragments into a patchwork, so do the data sources with which we monitor that process. Fragmentation extended to knowledge obscures itself. Fascinating table from Aiyar et al for IMF h/t @TatjanaSchulze_ imf.org/en/Publication…

How bad could it get? Current best guesses suggest that the price of geoconomic fragmentation may be in the order of 2-12% of GDP depending on scenario, where you measure and what model you apply. Aiyar et al IMF imf.org/en/Publication…

🇺🇸🇨🇳 - Must-read IMF report on the economic costs of geopolitical fragmentation (aka US-China decoupling) - in a nutshell, a decoupled global economy will be a poorer one, with emerging economies most at risk 🧵A thread, with graphs & takeaways [1/10] 👇 imf.org/en/Publication…

My Financial Times op-ed on China, India and global inequality. ft.com/content/fa2315… Despite a public discourse focused on rising inequality in rich countries, the global picture looks very different. Global inequality has fallen sharply for several decades, primarily

My Guest Essay in the New York Times. I argue that the burden of rising protectionism in advanced countries will fall most heavily on emerging economies, hindering their prospects of using trade as a ladder for development, and setting back the eradication of global poverty.

The world economy is splintering. Who wins? Who loses? 🏦📉 Join Shekhar Aiyar as he unpacks geoeconomic fragmentation and its impact on global & regional output, foreign investment, and the role of "connector" countries: bit.ly/3CvGXda 🗓️April 1 | 📍121 BSR