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It's underrated how you can have really high individual accuracy on your forecasts and still add nothing to the aggregate forecast. This applies in other areas of life too.

The Financial Times is a brilliant newspaper, providing careful empirical analysis of trends and events across the world. Odd that it has not reported on punishments for free speech in London. Liberalism dies if no one cares.

Asked ChatGPT for a comic making fun of Effective Altruism - not bad!

I am surprised that Neil O'Brien believes this to be a "correction". These are two quite different claims, and if you watch the interview, that's apparent.

Something weird is happening in South Korea. When I went there the gender polarisation was noticeable in a way I’ve never seen before. I met men who genuinely seemed to be done with women in a way I haven’t encountered elsewhere.

The returns to innovation supported by USAID are ludicrously large, with a cost-benefit ratio of 17:1. Cutting it is senseless.

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In 2009 (!!!), Paul Graham (Paul Graham) wrote a post about the 5 most interesting founders of the last 30 years. The list included Steve Jobs, Larry & Sergey, TJ Rodgers, Paul Buchheit, and... Sam Altman (Sam Altman)

Serving a Mormon mission makes those who serve more pro-immigrant.

Nathan Fielder embodies "you can just do things" more than almost all people in the Bay Area, sorry

We agree with Chris Curtis MP who is spot on here It is morally offensive to enact measures which will keep homeless children from the housing they so desperately need. We owe it to our voters to bring radical change. This amendment should be withdrawn

Neasden temple is one of the most wonderful places to visit in London, and the anyone who sneers at a place like this has let their racism pollute their aesthetic judgement!

Since reasoning models were released, the way that I anthropomorphise non-reasoning models has changed. I think of them as people who will just blurt out whatever comes to mind, without thinking at all about what they want to say before saying it.

London's such a great city all around

Presented without comment

Three weeks ago a car bomb exploded outside an IVF clinic in California, injuring four people. Now court documents against his accomplice show the terrorist asked AI to help build the bomb. A thread on what I think those documents do and don't show 🧵…