For countries in the "Demographic Window," development gets a substantial boost from demography. But when does it begin and end? Recent analyses suggest that it begins around a median age of 26 years. See: politicaldemography.org/2019/06/defini…

Read my review of "The Demographic Transition Theory of War" (recent paper by Brooks et al., 2018/19) on H-Diplo Website, see: networks.h-net.org/node/28443/dis…

Recently posted: Statistical forecasting for individual countries using age-structural models: politicaldemography.org/individual-sta…

ISSF website for review of "The Demographic Transition Theory of War" (article by Brooks et al., 2018/19), an analysis of demographic trends that are associated with inter-state conflict. issforum.org/articlereviews…

New Security Beat web essay highlights growing demographic gap between Europe and West and Central Africa and the Sahel -- a stimulant for increased migration to Europe and populist politics. See: newsecuritybeat.org/2019/12/demogr…

For those Iran followers, here are a few publications and web essays on the political demography of Islamic Republic: politicaldemography.org/2020/01/politi…

New Security Beat blog post: Botswana's fertility decline has been the most rapid in Sub-Saharan Africa. Can those countries in the region with the highest levels of fertility and youngest populations ever hope to emulate that decline? newsecuritybeat.org/2020/01/emulat…

Just posted on Wilson Center's New Security Beat: "Population Age Structure: The Hidden Factor in COVID-19 Mortality". Read at: newsecuritybeat.org/2020/05/popula…

Education, Urbanization, and the Future of U.S. Presidential Elections. newsecuritybeat.org/2020/11/tale-t…

New Security Beat essay on the results of a 10-year experiment forecasting liberal democracy using population age structure. newsecuritybeat.org/2021/08/predic…

A Research Agenda for Political Demography (edited by Jennifer Sciubba): e-elgar.com/shop/usd/a-res…

Global Political Demography: The Politics of Population Change (edited by Achim Goerres & Pieter Vanhuysse) -- open access (free downloads): palgrave.com/us/book/978303…

"Youthful age structures and the risks of revolutionary and separatist conflict" (Cincotta & Weber) now available at: politicaldemography.org/wp-content/upl…

Now on the Atlantic Council site: "What Future for the Western Sahel? The Region's Demography and Its Implications by 2045" atlanticcouncil.org/wp-content/upl…

Exec. Summary of "What Future for the Western Sahel? The region's demography and its implications" atlanticcouncil.org/in-depth-resea…

Brief essay on "Thomas Sankara's Lost Legacy" on the Wilson Center's New Security Beat: newsecuritybeat.org/2021/12/thomas…

New Security Beat blog: Youthful Demographic Conditions Could Push the Sahel to an “Afghanistan Moment” newsecuritybeat.org/2022/02/youthf…

Recently posted on New Security Beat and Africa Up Close: The demography of coups d'état, and why that relationship is important to US foreign policy. newsecuritybeat.org/2023/02/demogr…

Is this Nigeria's demographic moment? Or just wishful thinking? Brief essay on Nigeria's demographic transition, on the Wilson Center's New Security Beat at: newsecuritybeat.org/2023/07/nigeri…

Does population age structure affect governance? If so, is age structure at the root of sub-Saharan Africa's governance problems? On the Wilson Center's New Security Beat, see: newsecuritybeat.org/2023/12/age-st…