Five Fundamentals of Indian Elections

इंटरनेट के इस दौर में नतीजों को लेकर अटकलों का बाजार गर्म है। सट्टा बाजार से लेकर शेयर बाजार की चाल को पैमाना बनाया जा रहा है। चुनाव को प्रभावित करने वाले आधारभूत पहलू ही जीत में प्रभावी भूमिका निभाते हैं

Link: bit.ly/4aeM8Jq

Predicting Elections in India

please join us TODAY at 5:00 pm for a conversation with & Rajeeva Karandikar & Dhananjai Joshi on the challenges & learnings reg. forecasting elections - which states are harder to predict etc?

Zoom Registration: bit.ly/3UXuOUE

#LokSabaElections2024 | 2024 elections will be very different from 2019, the field is wide open: Rasheed Kidwai रशीद किदवाई رشید قدوائی, Sr Journalist

'400 paar' is not realistic, PM Modi remains popular but it can't be equated with BJP: Rahul Verma, CPR India

#BrassTacks | Akanksha Swarup

Art and Science of Forecasting Indian Elections?

please join us for a conversation with Rajeeva Karandikar and Dhananjai Joshi to discuss methods pollsters & statisticians use to predict seats.

14 May, Tuesday, 5:00 pm IST on Zoom

Registration: bit.ly/3UXuOUE

What explains BJP's polarising campaign?

two thoughtful pieces offering multiple hypothesis:

Soutik Biswas on why Modi's campaign shifting gears - bbc.com/news/world-asi…

Roshan Kishore on BJP's turn to deal with India's political economy contradictions - hindustantimes.com/opinion/terms-…

Three emerging trends in 2024

- woman turnout & whether BJP will benifit

- oppoisition has done well on narrative war, really good ads

- this would pressure on BJP’s organisational machinery as party has fielded lot of turncoat with tainted record

Postdoctoral Fellowship

This UPIASI fellowship offers scholars an opportunity to pursue independent research projects on topics of contemporary India.

Deadline: 30 June, 2024

Details: linkedin.com/jobs/view/3901…

Internship opportunity at NITI Aayog

Deadline: 10 May 2024

Duration: 6 weeks to 6 months.

Details: workforindia.niti.gov.in/intern/Interns…

Turncoats in Indian Politics

- Every fourth BJP & fifth INC candidate in 2024 jumped from other parties

- INC has fielded more turncoats since 1990s

- turncoats don't have any better winning ratios

excellent analysis Abhishek Jha & Sreedev Krishnakumar; especially limitations part !!

On Causes & Consequences of Voter Turnout Change

- No three Lok Sabha elections in a row witnessed turnout increase/ decline
- most reasons cited for decline, have very little empirical basis
- group-wise turnout matters more in shaping outcome

Link: bit.ly/4a82EdX

#Opinion | 'Very little is known about the causes and consequences of turnout change. So, caution is advised on drawing broad inferences from any turnout number'

✍️ Rahul Verma | #HTPremium #ElectionsWithHT #LokSabhaElections2024

hindustantimes.com/opinion/truths…

'Abki baar 400 paar?'

What do Southern Indian states have for BJP's national ambitions?

Our founder Yashwant Deshmukh 🇮🇳 and CPR India fellow Rahul Verma discuss on TOI India

youtube.com/live/fXjQ65zwK…

Ideas of India: 2024 Campaign ?

suhas palshikar highlights the differences b/w the Congress and BJP campaign - the two registers are speaking about two very different ideas of India, and the contrast has become sharper.

theindiaforum.in/politics/campa…

Has the BJP taken MP for granted? Is the BJP looking for total domination In these seats? Rajat Sethi explains

Is #Maharashtra the state where the local factors matter seat-by-seat? Rahul Verma elaborates

#PolitcalRumble #MadhyaPradesh Rajdeep Sardesai #Maharashtra

This is a very uneven kind of contest in UP. BJP is a formidable force. BJP can add up to 7-10 seats in the tally. BSP will be playing the role of spoiler: Sanjay Kumar

Congress-SP alliance is not as formidable as the 2019 alliance of BSP-SP: Rahul Verma

BJP goes up very…

How India Votes

interesting conversation b/w Shekhar Gupta & Surjit Bhalla on factors tgat influence voters

- economic welfare plays dominant role in voting behaviout, price rise/ inflation very little

- emotive issues, identities, ideological positions explains very little

Wedding card style invitation to vote

Interesting ECI effort to keep the turnout-levels high

There are serious issues in our economy. Inequality is rising and it cannot be solved in five years by any government: Rahul Verma, Fellow, CPR

#NewsToday with Rajdeep Sardesai | Full show: rb.gy/j7ep2y

#WealthRedistribution #ITVideo #Congress

There's a nice Rahul Verma & Chhibber article on this actually: They argue there are differences in economic policy among elites but they don't translate into mass politics because all parties present the State as the solution to economic deprivation journals.sagepub.com/doi/epub/10.11…

#IndianElections Happening today at IIC, Delhi. Join us! Prof.Rekha Saxena हिलाल अहमद Hilal Ahmed Sandeep Shastri Sanjay Kumar Rahul Verma