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Kamala Harris is doing SIGNIFICANTLY better than Joe Biden is among Black and Hispanic voters. Why is that important? It means that while Biden had really one path to win the electoral college, Harris has multiple. Specifically, she can win in the Sun Belt (AZ, GA, NC, & NV).

Deeply saddened by Martin Indyk's passing. Martin was not just an amazing scholar and diplomat but also my boss, mentor, and friend. Rest in Peace, Martin, and may we live to see your lifelong goal of Middle East peace. nytimes.com/2024/07/25/wor…

States that didn't expand Medicaid under Obamacare had a rural hospital closure crisis. The affected voters blamed Obamacare and supported Republicans more (even though Republicans opposed the expansion). ir.vanderbilt.edu/bitstream/hand…

Summarizing this crazy week in stocks. S&P 500 Last Friday's close: 5,346.56 This Friday's close: 5,344.16 => A decline of four hundredths of a percent. => The smallest weekly drop in over six years.

JFK said “Ich bin ein Berliner”, but actually he never even lived in the city!

Overnight ratings for Night One of the conventions. Seven networks combined: DNC - 11.4 (10p-12:15a) RNC - 9.4 (10-11p) Difference: 21%

Uvalde parent Kim Rubio: The "Police tell us she isn't coming home. Uvalde is national news. Parents everywhere reach for their children. I reached out for the daughter I would never hold again."

Happy 10th anniversary to the tan suit!

Pretty good numbers for Harris. Trump very likely needs to win GA and NC.

Applications for the 2025 Franz Steiner Prize are due soon (September 15)! The prize is given every two years to an outstanding historical manuscript in the field of North American studies or transatlantic relations ghi-dc.org/programs/franz…

My esteemed colleague Joshua Huminski has a number of great fall book recommendations in this thread. He is kind enough to include “No Better Friend?” which will be out at the end of October.

Tuesday re-post of my Diplomatic Courier best autumn reads w/ books by Yuval Noah Harari, Parmy Olson, Tim Shipman, David McCloskey, Atossa Araxia Abrahamian, Office of Kevin Rudd, 26th PM of Australia, Alexey Navalny, Dr Claire Hubbard-Hall | Spy Historian, Peter Sparding, Lord Richards/Julian Lindley-French, Mark Galeotti, Rahul Bhatia & matt whyman. diplomaticourier.com/posts/13-books…

Until the US elections on November 5, I am writing a regular column for RND (in German). In this latest iteration, I discuss what the vote means for Washington, DC, the city, not the symbol of the US political system: rnd.de/politik/us-wah…

The Onion from over 10 years ago.

Astute Foreign Affairs observations on Ukraine's Kursk operation from Michael Kofman & Rob Lee: "However it ends, the Kursk offensive needs to provide the impetus for Ukraine and its partners to get on the same page—and shake off the current drift." foreignaffairs.com/ukraine/ukrain…

Good news: TSMC achieved yields at its AZ facility on par w plants back home — an early indicator that its US project is on track to achieve targets, incl. full production in 2025 TSMC is in line for a $6.6b Chips Act grant & $5b loan (no $ disbursed yet) bloomberg.com/news/articles/…

From Jennifer Carter, a teacher at Apalachee High School in Winder, Georgia. What the hell are we doing?

Kamala Harris now has a net positive favorability rating for the first time since July 2021 projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/favorabi…

I am beginning to think the pollsters are just having a bit of fun with us at this point…