Patrick Mathieson 🇺🇸 (@pmthn) 's Twitter Profile
Patrick Mathieson 🇺🇸

@pmthn

venture capital

ID: 1351212427413745671

linkhttps://thedownround.substack.com/ calendar_today18-01-2021 16:58:48

238 Tweet

313 Followers

347 Following

Rory McCarthy (@roryisconfused) 's Twitter Profile Photo

The dopamine-exploiting effects of social media (which e.g. utilises research that was initially used to make slot machines more addictive) has a downstream neurological effect of making its users more paranoid, which has had profoundly malign effects on our democracies

JaguarAnalytics (@jaguaranalytics) 's Twitter Profile Photo

The idea of selling shares of a hollow entity to investors to build an inventory of shitcoins in treasury and calling it a business model is even worse than buying a jpeg as NFT and calling it an investment.

Eric Boehm (@ericboehm87) 's Twitter Profile Photo

It's subtle, but if you look very closely at this chart, you can see the exact moment when Trump announced the Japan trade "deal" that prioritizes imported cars over American car manufacturing

It's subtle, but if you look very closely at this chart, you can see the exact moment when Trump announced the Japan trade "deal" that prioritizes imported cars over American car manufacturing
SuspendedCap (@contrariancurse) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Again, regarding the build out of AI capex vs previous overbuilds. Railroads do not get faster as they scale. Fiber did not have the technology at the time to get better as it scaled. AI gets better in line with how much is installed and scaled out.

Patrick Mathieson 🇺🇸 (@pmthn) 's Twitter Profile Photo

I'm struck by the almost religious fervor of the DOGE movement earlier this year... "we're going to cut $2T of spending" was just as much of an obvious falsehood as the most goofy "woke" claims from 2020. But you had to repeat it as a purity test to be let in. (I don't really

Chris Albon (@chrisalbon) 's Twitter Profile Photo

I am so skeptical of this narrative because every company I’ve worked for had 20x the amount of stuff they wanted to build than they had staff for If you magically 5x’d engineer productivity any self interested company wouldn’t fire 90% of engineers, they’d hire way more of them

Siyu Li (@siyul) 's Twitter Profile Photo

$GOOG: $277Bn $META: $175Bn $AMZN: $61Bn That's 3 giants' LTM (as of 2Q25) ads rev. The chart shows their growth trajectory since its ads revenue > $1Bn. (Y03 for Google, Y10 for Meta, and Y13 for Amazon) Amazon tracked Google's growth trajectory almost to a T (both grew

$GOOG: $277Bn
$META: $175Bn
$AMZN: $61Bn

That's 3 giants' LTM (as of 2Q25) ads rev. 

The chart shows their growth trajectory since its ads revenue > $1Bn. (Y03 for Google, Y10 for Meta, and Y13 for Amazon) 

Amazon tracked Google's growth trajectory almost to a T (both grew
Ro is a SL,UT 🐇📱🇵🇸🇺🇦 (@rowanfornow) 's Twitter Profile Photo

hot take: getting negatively polarized is deeply embarrassing, not a normal psychological phenomenon, and not something to be proud of. it is a midwit behavior that should be shamed out of any circle where people claim to care about seeking truth

katie (@katefeetie) 's Twitter Profile Photo

keeping myself humble by remembering that no matter how smart I think I am, it’s still not smart enough to get off twitter

modest proposal (@modestproposal1) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Maybe I'm being obtuse, but idea every company is going to code their own ERP, ITSM, CRM, Slack, etc reminds me of cloud repatriation. Maybe you save money but now you're locked in to internal teams building and maintaining those products, which does nothing for your customers.

Maybe I'm being obtuse, but idea every company is going to code their own ERP, ITSM, CRM, Slack, etc reminds me of cloud repatriation. Maybe you save money but now you're locked in to internal teams building and maintaining those products, which does nothing for your customers.
Patrick Mathieson 🇺🇸 (@pmthn) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Price drives narrative…. Software down -3% yesterday and my entire feed is “AI has killed all software moats”. Reminds me of fall ‘22 when fintwit informed me that Snowflake is a “worthless shitco”. Meanwhile 3/4s of SaaS co’s raised their Q3 guide…

Price drives narrative…. Software down -3% yesterday and my entire feed is “AI has killed all software moats”.  Reminds me of fall ‘22 when fintwit informed me that Snowflake is a “worthless shitco”. 

Meanwhile 3/4s of SaaS co’s raised their Q3 guide…