Enjoyed speaking to Todd Dewey about the 2028 US Election betting and how BetOnline are taking plenty of bets on Trump winning/running again....or not. reviewjournal.com/sports/betting…

It is ESSENTIAL to remember that between a third and a half of people have NO inner monologue or dialogue. They don’t debate with themselves, they have no inner conversations – they exist in a blur of images and sensations and feelings. And they are all around you…

Mamdani’s mother is a world-famous, Academy Award-nominated Bollywood director worth tens of millions of dollars. His father is a chaired professor at Columbia. He is, in effect, a perpetual theatre kid who’s pretending to be “Third World.” It’s all so, so performative + stupid.

"When you look at the top of the top people in political betting, these are extremely smart, sharp, high IQ people. To even manage a bankroll and not go bankrupt you have to be pretty good. So by the time you are someone who can make steady returns, even hope to make

Speaking as an open-borders, libertarian globalist, I think Donald J. Trump has been a net positive on the immigration issue. Pro-immigration policies have not polled well consistently. But due to Trump, a broad cross-section of center-left Americans—notably elites—embraced

Trump has given neocons everything a movement could reasonably expect from a president. He provided a foil to the neocons, allowing them to restore their credibility in elite circles by opposing his excesses. At the same time, he delivered on their foreign policy wishlist.

Here's a story that I've not seen covered at all in the media. The most active liberal 'religious' groups: atheists, agnostics, and Jews basically sat on their hands in 2024 vs 2020. Donations to candidates declined by double digits. Just not a lot of enthusiasm on the left

SCOOP: The Duke Law Journal sent a secret memo to minority applicants with tips on how to ace the journal's personal statement. The memo told students they'd get up to 15 extra points for indicating their "membership in an "underrepresented group."🧵

"Nate Silver has set up this paradigm where he can never really be wrong." starspangledgamblers.libsyn.com/the-model-that…

Gaming industry looking at National Indian Gaming Commission (NIGC) to use the Indian Gaming Regulatory Act as leverage in the "fight against prediction markets."

I've never exactly understood why colleges don't try harder to compete with and disrupt schools regarded as more elite than they are. The prestige Ivies enjoy, for example, could be eroded significantly if rivals competed as hard as they could to recruit perfect SAT scorers.

Pratik Chougule There was briefly a pretty strong movement by a lot of mid tier state schools to make a push into the upper tier, around 2010 if you had a near-perfect SAT you could get a free ride a lot of places that subsequently climbed the rankings. Why it died down? Wokeness I guess?

Pratik Chougule Having participated in med school admissions it’s no exaggeration that the typical Ivy League kid has fallen off a cliff in terms of intelligence, I’d be curious if there were stats showing graduate schools accept fewer of them proportionally now.

Do any elite universities conduct comprehensive impact analyses on their admissions decisions? ie investigate who was a good admit, who was a mistake, which potential recruits were missed opportunities etc? I’m not aware of any. My guess is that this exercise—if pursued beyond

Interesting point here. The smartest, most talented, and most ambitious people in the world move to America, or hope to, precisely because it is an unequal society.

"To even manage a bankroll and not go bankrupt you have to be pretty good. So by the time you are someone who can make steady returns, even hope to make anywhere near a full-time income in political betting, your opportunity cost to being a full-time prediction market

Question I wonder every July 4th: If both sides had shown restraint and the American revolution had been avoided, could the Anglosphere have evolved into an economic union with an integrated defense structure? Could it have laid down a rules-based order without the world wars?

Who is an individual—either historical or still alive—who interests you so much that you would donate money to have a book-length biography written about them?