Nataliya Bugayova(@nataliabugayova) 's Twitter Profileg
Nataliya Bugayova

@nataliabugayova

Non-resident Fellow & fmr Russia Research Team Lead @TheStudyofWar | Views are my own.

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calendar_today07-01-2010 12:44:59

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The Kremlin aims to get the US to the sidelines, allowing Russia to fight Ukraine in isolation and then proceed to Moscow’s next targets, which Russia will also seek to isolate. The Russian strategy that matters most is not Moscow’s warfighting strategy, but rather the Kremlin’s

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6/ A victorious Russia will be free to give Iran the advanced aircraft and missile technologies Tehran has long sought. If Russia gains control of Ukraine’s resources, as it seeks to do, it will be able to rebuild its own military and help Iran at the same time.

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Russia is hijacking and substituting key concepts of Western debate, such as notions of peace, defense and escalation, contributing to Western category errors. [Peace = Surrender. Resisting Russian Aggression = Escalation.] No one should be confused about verbs when it comes to

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NEW: The composition of the ongoing Iranian attack on Israel is similar to that of strikes that Russia has repeatedly conducted against Ukraine in efforts to determine the optimal package to penetrate Western-style air- and missile defenses. 🧵(1/8)

NEW: The composition of the ongoing Iranian attack on Israel is similar to that of strikes that Russia has repeatedly conducted against Ukraine in efforts to determine the optimal package to penetrate Western-style air- and missile defenses. 🧵(1/8)
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The US still does not fully grasp the nature of the Russian threat, Russia’s sources of power and weakness, and the Russian way of war – including reflexive control. This knowledge gap is reflected in the prevailing US national security assessment that, while Russia poses the

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Kherson is a microcosm of Russia’s war against Ukraine. Liberated and resilient yet under constant and deadly Russian artillery strikes, next to the frontline, and with daily reminders of the Russian atrocities committed against the locals during the occupation. Past life of a

Kherson is a microcosm of Russia’s war against Ukraine. Liberated and resilient yet under constant and deadly Russian artillery strikes, next to the frontline, and with daily reminders of the Russian atrocities committed against the locals during the occupation. Past life of a
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Always a privilege to back in Kyiv with General Petraeus and this great delegation. Russia cannot defeat Ukraine  - and will likely lose - if the West mobilizes its resources to resist the Kremlin. The Kremlin’s real strategy and only real hope of success in this war is to

Always a privilege to back in Kyiv with General Petraeus and this great delegation. Russia cannot defeat Ukraine  - and will likely lose - if the West mobilizes its resources to resist the Kremlin. The Kremlin’s real strategy and only real hope of success in this war is to
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A reminder that Russia is not entitled to sanctuaries when it is trying to erase a nation. The West must abandon the Russian information line that Russia, having launched an unprovoked invasion, can demand immunity from attack with Western or Ukrainian weapons. More in our

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The ability to control perceptions inside of Russia has been an existential requirement for Putin. In 2020 I wrote that Putin’s rule depends on his ability to maintain the perception that an alternative to him is either worse or too costly to fight for. The Kremlin has succeeded

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The Kremlin’s exploitation of the Western argument for “stopping the bloodshed” conceals a critical nuance. Stopping the fighting does not stop the killing when it comes to Russia. The killing continues in Russian torture chambers on territory that Russia occupies – a process

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Russia is not entitled to sanctuaries when it is trying to erase a nation. The West must abandon the Russian information line that Russia, having launched an unprovoked invasion, can demand immunity from attack with Western or Ukrainian weapons. The US must remove any existing

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