My only prediction for 2026 was that it would be so strange we'd eventually call 2025 the last normal year. It's January 30th, and I'm feeling pretty good.

Moltbook seems to have "broken through" to a wider non-AI audience A good chance to explain the real present (this time, Moltbook was mostly roleplaying by people & agents) & the risks for the future (independent AI agents coordinating in weird ways spiral out of control, fast)

I'm a bit surprised at how many of my follows are defending OAI's ad rollout based on its current state. I thought we were all velocity noticers! Where does the incentive gradient point? What happened with Google ads?

I looked into this. Org theory doesn’t translate well bc 1. Agents have very strong context and role switching vs humans, so specialisation is not necessary 2. Shared implicit org knowledge is weaker, but shared explicit knowledge is stronger “Swarms” makes more sense imo

h/t andrewcv

I'm confused why everyone making the "yeah sure that sounds reasonable" replies to the Bostrom paper is intuitively treating the 8.3 billion humans alive today like we're a static team facing off against a merely hypothetical, nonoverlapping other set of humans and it's us or

"you can't put the genie back in the bottle" -guy opening additional bottles

Whenever my kids talk about what they want to do when they grow up they have started appending "if AI isn't doing all of it."

Now THIS is a more cyberpunk future - actual AI cores. Wild stuff!

Found the sigmoid!

"survive a brief singularity in March" - words to live by

Reality 👏 has 👏 a 👏 well-known 👏 liberal 👏 bias

I don't know if things will be fast or slow, but they will definitely be weird, starting now, and they will never be "normal" again

Difference between today and past technology booms; Railroad barons in the 1880s did not think that the next mile of track might bring about the Eschaton. Telco executives in 1999 did not expect that another line of fiber optic cable would possibly usher in the world-to-come.

Anthropic says they're against fully-autonomous killer robots, but if so why does Claude have a 'Constitution' granting it more hit points, resistance to poison, and better concentration saving throws.

A lot of people think this is about World War III or building God or whatever. and maybe that will be proven true. But the simpler explanation is that the chud civilian leadership said "new rule, no woke AI" and Anthropic said "that's stupid" and the chuds flipped the table

A statement on the comments from Secretary of War Pete Hegseth. anthropic.com/news/statement…

i'm sure he's telling the truth about ads, though!