The F-35 seemed destined to become the standard fighter for European air forces. Trump's tariffs have shot down that idea, with some European countries reconsidering their plans to buy the aircraft. My latest for the Center for European Policy Analysis. cepa.org/article/the-f-…

Fears that China is about to invade Taiwan are exaggerated. Why would China invade now, when it wait while Trump destroys the alliances that have protected Taiwan for years? My latest for 1945. 19fortyfive.com/2025/04/china-…

Russia's drones have replaced artillery for counterbattery missions against Ukrainian artillery. My latest for Business Insider. businessinsider.com/russia-is-gett…

Chinese warships sailing around Australia are a bluff. They wouldn't surviv long in a real war. My latest for 1945. 19fortyfive.com/2025/04/why-au…

Russia has finally learned combined arms warfare. The Russians are using ground troops, drones and artillery, and glide bombs to hammer Ukrainian defenses. Or can Ukraine jam the glide bombs? My latest for the Center for European Policy Analysis. cepa.org/article/breaki… #CEPA

Military deception is no longer just fooling enemy commanders. It is also about fooling enemy AI. My latest for Business Insider. businessinsider.com/ai-change-mili…

When the Ukraine war ends, Russia will have to rebuild its military. Will Moscow opt for a small Western-style force -- or bring back the old Soviet mass armies? My latest for the Center for European Policy Analysis. #cepa cepa.org/article/russia…

Cluster bombs are nasty weapons. They may also be Europe's best defense against Russia. My latest for Business Insider. businessinsider.com/europe-needs-c…

Motorcycles are cool. But if I were a Russian soldier, I'd rather be in a tank. Tanks are vulnerable to drones, but 2 feet of armor plate is better protection than a leather bike jacket. My latest for Business Insider. businessinsider.com/russian-soldie…

What does Littoral Commander -- a board game available on Amazon -- tell us about a U.S.-China war? Long-range missiles and missile interceptors are key -- and the best way to survive is not being detected by the enemy. My latest for Business Insider. businessinsider.com/littoral-comma…

America's M10 Booker light tank project was a fiasco. As European nations rebuild their armored forces, they can't afford to make the same mistake. My latest for the Center for European Policy Analysis. cepa.org/article/europe…

For 30 years, the Reaper and Predator have symbolized the Drone Age. But have modern air defenses ended the Reign of the Reaper? My latest for Business Insider. businessinsider.com/reign-of-drone…

Why would NATO want to expand into Asia? Doesn't NATO have enough problems in Europe? My latest for the Center for European Policy Analysis. CEPA cepa.org/article/nato-s…

Why the U.S. Air Force's cancellation of the E-7 airborne early warning aircraft will leave NATO scrambling for a replacement. My latest for the Center for European Policy Analysis. cepa.org/article/us-awa… CEPA

U.S. government wargames explored how to defend military bases in the United States from drone attack. One lesson: no one really knows who has the authority to shoot down drones. My latest article for Defense News. defensenews.com/unmanned/2025/…

A Chinese blockade could cripple Taiwan's electricity, warns a new U.S. wargame. My latest for Defense News. defensenews.com/global/asia-pa…

Why did Chinese bombers fly near Alaska in 2024? A new report suggests the real reason was that China was training bomber crews -- and warning the U.S. not to station nuclear weapons in Korea and Japan. My latest for Defense News. defensenews.com/air/2025/08/12…

China fears its submarines are vulnerable to America's undersea sensor network. Some Chinese experts want to destroy those sensors, using sabotage, explosives and cyber. My latest for Defense News. defensenews.com/global/asia-pa…

Beware the wrong lesson from the Ukraine war. Drones are not going to replace tanks. My latest for Defense News. Defense News defensenews.com/unmanned/2025/…

Americans like to play offense, not defense. But as China grows stronger, the U.S. military needs to relearn how to conduct a fighting retreat in the Pacific. My latest for Defense News. defensenews.com/global/asia-pa…