Let’s see where the race stands today: 1. F- Gov Y is term limited 2. T- Gov Y is popular 3. F- R has not controlled Governor mansion for 4 straight terms 4. F- as R’s do control Governor mansion & White House 5. F- As D control house not R’s 6. T- No expected primary

Governor Model (summary): 7 T/F statements...need 5/7 false for the incumbent party to lose the Governor Mansion This thread for further definitions and examples: 3 or more True statements and incumbent party in control is expected to win the race. 👇 x.com/mets1992/statu…

We need a "reality check"... Right track % in the U.S. is "through the roof!" Highest since 04 per NBC & 2nd highest since 09 per Marist. Trump is more popular now in his net favorable than any time in term 1 or when he won in 2024. Generic ballot looks like when GOP wins.

NJ & VA looking bleak today but still months to go!

That’s clearly another key that we all saw lichtman mismark. nypost.com/2025/05/26/us-…

BREAKING: Democrat Mikie Sherrill wins NJ gubernatorial primary, setting up showdown with Trump-backed GOP winner foxnews.com/politics/democ…

NJ update: #6 flipped false as no candidate received a majority in the dem NJ divided primary. This race is officially a pure toss-up. I still think favors Dems but saw a poll that showed Murphy with a worse approval than Trump.

A must read ... "[E]ducation consultant Jennifer Weber evaluates the long-term consequences and the procedural and policy failures of NYC’s RJ initiatives. She also makes five recommendations to return NYC’s discipline policy to evidence-based practices and away from

yahoo.com/news/articles/…

Lichtman a clown

Not looking good Chuck Armstrong JD Lickman