The response to Charlie Kirk’s assassination is the greatest example of antifragility I’ve ever seen It’s beautiful, inspiring and hopeful My wife & I attended service at Charlie’s church last night The largest Weds service they’ve ever had, comparable only to the crowds

Baby #2 on the way. A girl 🙏🏼

OnlyFans just reported 2024 earnings Fan growth still ripping, +24% YoY vs. +28% year prior Creator growth slowing, +13% YoY vs. + 29% year prior Avg spend per fan declining: 2021: $25 2022: $23 2023: $21 2024: $19 Projecting those rates forward, should get to $8 billion

Because dollar down is good for bringing manufacturing back to the US

Historically, most of the downside in BTC occurs in the 4th & 5th octiles of the halving cycle We enter the 4th octile for this cycle on Oct 12

Update on this I read many of the books recommended in the comments Went down the rabbit hole on the internal+external evidence, and then started reading the Bible itself Overall Christianity has been more compelling than I expected More grounded in historical fact &

Uptober

Been trying to quit caffeine permanently 1 week in today and it’s still brutal Any tips from people who’ve kicked it successfully?

VC-backed startup idea: sell $0 houses

No amount of deflationary technology can overcome the fact that we have 120% debt / gdp compounding at 6% ongoing deficits + interest Massive currency devaluation is the only outcome Gold and Bitcoin aren’t going up The denominator is collapsing

To anyone who still thinks owning a home in the US is a good investment: Interest rates went straight down for 40yrs from 1980-2020, driving cap rates down and therefore real estate prices relentlessly up When we hit the 0 bound on interest rates, we proceeded to open our

Retiring your wife and having lots of kids is the ultimate flex

One of the biggest self-owns in history