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Based on national CPI figures (France, Spain, Italy) + Germany regional details we forecast March HEADLINE #HICP (to be released on Tuesday, April 1) at 2.20% y/y (in line with current BBG consensus) from 2.3% in Feb and CORE HICP at 2.4% (vs 2.5% BBG consensus) from 2.6% in Feb.

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With #CPI + #PPI inputs data we now track core #PCE at 0.1% m/m from 0.4% in February (we expect an upward revision on February numbers due to a very large upward revision to PPI portfolio management). The y-o-y translation would be 2.5% from 2.7% in February.

Matteo Gallone That pop in Feb PPI portfolio management was massive indeed.