A ridge of high pressure builds into the #Southwest Tuesday through Sunday, creating a “#heat dome.” #ExtremeHeat peaks Wednesday–Saturday with 110°–115° in Arizona and California and up to 120° in the Mojave Desert. Triple digits stretch into NV, UT, CO, NM, TX, and the Plains.

Refreshing air continues for parts of the coastal #Northeast as a low off the Carolinas lingers. However, #warmer air building west of the Appalachians will spread east by the weekend, marking a return of summer-like warmth and humidity that will linger into mid-August. #weather

𝙇𝙊𝙉𝙂 𝙍𝘼𝙉𝙂𝙀 𝙊𝙐𝙏𝙇𝙊𝙊𝙆 - Much of the country will experience above-normal warmth through the middle of August, with extreme warmth centered over the Central Plains and Rockies. Meanwhile, the dry trend continues across Florida's Peninsula. #weather #forecast

Poor #airquality will persist in parts of the Lower 48 over the next few days, driven by two high-pressure systems. One over eastern Canada is pulling #wildfiresmoke into New England, the Mid-Atlantic, and Ohio Valley. Another over the Southwest is sending #smoke into the Plains.

After a quiet start to #HurricaneSeason, models now hint at increased activity in the Atlantic in mid-August. A stronger wave may emerge off Africa early next week, with potential #tropical development near the Lesser Antilles around August 16. One to watch between August 17–21.

Recent improvements noted, but South #Florida still faces Moderate, Severe, and Extreme #drought. A stationary front and onshore flow may bring 1.5–3" of #rain over the next week, with isolated spots exceeding 4", offering short-term relief for the Sunshine State. #FLwx #Weather

#𝗘𝗡𝗘𝗥𝗚𝗬 𝗨𝗣𝗗𝗔𝗧𝗘 — #Heat currently gripping the Rockies is expected to expand northward by early next week, enveloping the entire Mountain West. As temps remain above average, demand for gas-weighted #cooling degree days will increase. #OOTT #NaturalGas #EnergyMarkets

Models are increasingly supportive that the first #hurricane of the 2025 season in the #Atlantic will form over the next 2 weeks. A #tropical wave off Africa early this week could become a named #storm north of the Lesser Antilles late in the week. The #East Coast should monitor.

The #Northeast’s break from #summer #heat is ending. Early week temperatures will soar into the 90s with dew points in the 70s, creating sweltering conditions. Northern #NewEngland, especially Maine, may see the worst of it. Relief arrives late week. #heatwave #hot #weather

#TropicalStormErin could become the season’s first #hurricane late Wednesday into Thursday, with growing chances of reaching major status late weekend or early next week. While likely avoiding land through early next week, uncertainty grows beyond that. #Erin #Atlantic #Tropics

𝙇𝙊𝙉𝙂 𝙍𝘼𝙉𝙂𝙀 𝙊𝙐𝙏𝙇𝙊𝙊𝙆 - The second half of August is expected to bring #cooler-than-normal conditions to portions of both the #East and #West Coasts, while the Plains and interior West trend #warmer than normal. #longrangeforecast #weatherforecast #temperaturetrend

#SevereWeather targets the Northern Plains today through Friday, especially the #Dakotas, northern #Nebraska, and western #Minnesota. Threats include 60+ mph #winds, #hail over 1", and #flooding from 2"/hr #rain. SPC slight risk shifts across the region each day. #Thunderstorms

#𝗘𝗡𝗘𝗥𝗚𝗬 𝗨𝗣𝗗𝗔𝗧𝗘 — A dominant ridge will grip much of the #West next week, sending temperatures well above normal from the Pacific Coast to the Intermountains and boosting gas-weighted cooling demand through much of August. #OOTT #NaturalGas #EnergyMarkets #Electricity

#HurricaneErin is shifting west, projected to pass ~300 miles east of Cape #Hatteras near major #hurricane strength late Wednesday–Thursday. Dangerous #surf & #rip currents hit the #Carolina coast Tuesday–Thursday, with rough surf from #Florida to #NewEngland all week. #Erin

𝙇𝙊𝙉𝙂 𝙍𝘼𝙉𝙂𝙀 𝙊𝙐𝙏𝙇𝙊𝙊𝙆 - Much #colder than normal conditions will be centered on the #Midwest as August transitions into September, while the portions of the Northwest trend well above normal during this time. #WeatherOutlook #LongRangeForecast #ColdWeather #HeatWave

#HurricaneErin has weakened to a Cat 2 with 105 mph winds, tracking north-northwest at 10 mph. While its strongest #winds stay offshore, the #OuterBanks face tropical-storm-force gusts, a few outer rain bands, 2–4 ft storm surge, dangerous surf, and rip currents. #Erin #Atlantic

Coastal areas from the #Carolinas to southern #NewEngland face hazardous conditions as #HurricaneErin stays offshore. #Waves over 10 ft and #winds gusting past 50 mph will impact the #coast, with dangerous #surf and rip currents persisting through Friday. #Erin #East #Hurricane

#𝗘𝗡𝗘𝗥𝗚𝗬 𝗨𝗣𝗗𝗔𝗧𝗘 — Cooler-than-normal conditions will persist across the #Midwest through late August, easing demand for #gas-weighted cooling degree days. A modest warm-up is expected to kick off in September, as near to slightly above-average temps return. #OOTT #Oil

A #cold front will deliver the first true taste of fall. Widespread cool, dry air drops temps 5–15° below normal into Labor Day Weekend. By late next week, parts of the Great Lakes, New England, and Mid-Atlantic may wake to their first 40° lows in months. #Weather #Fall #Cooler

A soggy setup lingers over the #Southeast this weekend, bringing daily showers and #storms. Saturday looks most active, with 0.5–2" common and up to 3" locally. While it may dampen outdoor plans, the #rain is welcome amid growing dryness and #drought. #Weather #FLwx #GAwx #SCwx