#SED2024 App is ready for download! Download the Guidebook app and then search for SED 2024. The rest is pretty self explanatory. Looking forward to seeing everyone in two days! apps.apple.com/us/app/guidebo…

#Sed2024 tomorrow at 9am, I will present *new* facts on quits, layoffs, and labor supply. Bonus slide with never before shared data that show a dramatic turn in labor markets in the past few months. It's SED! Got to hustle to bring our A game!

Fun last day #SED2024! Computer broke down before the presentation. Manuel: no problem, I will use the board!

Ahem... Flows are powerful. Stocks show a history . Flows show where we're headed. Next update August 15.

Paul was an unlikely source of light during a dark part of my life (figuratively and literally too: have you ever been to London, Ont?). It is comforting to read the deluge of memories in his honor and to know little needs to be said of his kindness, it was no secret.

1/9: Jeff Horwich and I have a new short piece on the U.S. labor market. "Fewer openings, harder to get hired: U.S. labor market likely softer than it appears" (minneapolisfed.org/article/2024/f…). What we do in 6 figures: