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In psychotherapy, every patient must ultimately choose between getting well and getting even

we’re joining forces with Polymarket as our official prediction market partner X 🤝 Polymarket

🤝🏽

Is anyone building a multiplayer CapCut for making music?

this feels like performance art

xAI partners with Polymarket to blend market predictions with X data and Grok’s analysis. Hardcore truth engine - see what shapes the world. This is just the start of our partnership with Polymarket. More to come. 🚀

Zune UI was ahead of its time.

no one is immune from crashing out on x.com

Israeli attacks on Iran had four particular targets so far: 1- military commanders 2- nuclear scientists 3- missile and air defense infrastructure 4- nuclear infrastructure

You can see pretty clearly in this chart. The polymarket contract on the strikes started moving before futures. Right around 7:47 last night. (Inverted the futures axis to make it clearer)

Futures traders watching Polymarket traders who are watching the Pentagon Pizza Report account.

Polymarket odds on an Israeli strike began rising around 7:47 PM before futures moved. Suggests some traders reacted earlier—whether through faster crowd inference or earlier access to info. Prediction markets may be emerging as real-time signals in geopolitical crises.

During the initial wave of Israeli attacks on Iran, Iran’s military chief of staff Major Gen. Mohammad Bagheri was among those killed. Today it was noted that in the same attack not just Bagheri but his wife and daughter were killed as well. This strongly indicates what many

Why are some Iraqis so good at figuring out when a person is lying? Jason Anthony reports on the world’s hardest bluffing game: theatlantic.com/magazine/archi…

Listen to this lecture on the geopolitical matrix Iran was placed in a year ago — it took place in a Chinese high school. youtu.be/xEEpOxqdU5E?si…

On the The Oracle by Polymarket podcast with Sina Toossi, we identified a month and a half ago that a) Israel viewed a deal as a non-starter and b) that unilateral action would ultimately draw the US in.

Too busy to obsessively track the war so I'm just following this market.