BREAKING: Lancaster County team finds and stops suspected voter registration fraud operation.
Press conference at 11:30 AM.
Livestream can be found here: vimeo.com/event/1970439
At 55% voter turnout or less, Republicans win.
At 60% voter turnout, Democrats win.
At 65% voter turnout, it's a Democratic landslide (Obama in 2008).
At 70% voter turnout, Democrats would win so big it would take Republicans a generation to recover.
1/3
Early vote notes, via TargetEarly:
- Ds running much better in battleground than natl early vote (=better campaign)
- Ds running even w/Rs in battleground vs. 2020
- Ds running ahead of 2020 in GA/MI/NE-2/WI
- Ds closing gap in AZ/NC/NV/PA
Rs not winning battleground early vote
And a general reminder that Rs would not be flooding the zone with dozens of polls and creating betting market voodoo if they believed they were winning the election and everything was fine. You only cheat when you are losing.
Nevada evening update
8k in person early votes (NONE from Clark)
DEM +1,877
GOP +4,115
Other +2,129
GOP statewide advantage 🔴 +32,400
What we're missing
- second half of Clark mail from today (maybe?)
- Clark in person early from vote from Oct 26