LgicalThesia (@logicalithesis) 's Twitter Profile
LgicalThesia

@logicalithesis

70% Buy&Hold - 30% Swing Trader. SMID Caps. Market Commentary. Data Scientist. Tweets are my opinion & not financial advice 🇦🇲
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ID: 1669146709992042496

linkhttp://whop.com/Stocktalk calendar_today15-06-2023 00:56:15

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Logical Thesis (@logicalthesis) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Another earnings banger! $RDDT After this move $18.4B mcap, $1.7B cash, $16.7B EV $350M revenue in Q3, $1.4B annualized 90% GM, $1.26B GP Trades at 13x GP $280M annualized FCF, 60x FCF For a company that just accelerated top line growth from +50% in Q2 to +68% in Q3. And a world

Another earnings banger! $RDDT
After this move $18.4B mcap, $1.7B cash, $16.7B EV
$350M revenue in Q3, $1.4B annualized
90% GM, $1.26B GP
Trades at 13x GP
$280M annualized FCF, 60x FCF
For a company that just accelerated top line growth from +50% in Q2 to +68% in Q3. And a world
Logical Thesis (@logicalthesis) 's Twitter Profile Photo

$TMDX sentiment At 150+: this is a revolutionary company! At 120: omg this is waaaay too cheap At 80: this is a garbage company losing market share Funny how that works.

Logical Thesis (@logicalthesis) 's Twitter Profile Photo

10/30/24 Portfolio Update (+44.4% YTD vs $SPY +22.7%) Long Term Core Holdings (79%) $TMDX 12.1% $AMZN 7.7% $EVO 6.3% $RDDT 6.1% $DCTH 6.1% $MELI 5.4% $GENK 4.9% $SNDA 4.9% $CLPT 4.8% $SNOW 4.7% $CREX 4.4% $AEP.V 3.6% $CPNG 3.5% $PSNL 2.8% $GRAB 2.2% $TMDX Sold Put -0.5%

Logical Thesis (@logicalthesis) 's Twitter Profile Photo

What's the next $ROOT $NRDS? $TREE me thinks They grew insurance segment revenue by +109% in Q2 They trade at a ~7x adj ebitda and that's while both personal and home lending segments were down ~30% YoY Earnings AH.

Logical Thesis (@logicalthesis) 's Twitter Profile Photo

$TREE Q2 revenue +15% Accelerated in Q3 to +68% Insurance segment in Q2 +109% Accelerated to +210% in Q3 Is insurance revenue sustainable? Mgmt said not this level of growth - but expect it to continue growing. They also noted that margins troughed and tick up from here. Personal

Logical Thesis (@logicalthesis) 's Twitter Profile Photo

I've been saying it for a while but the clear theme this earnings season is smid caps are where it's at. They're coming into the print with favorable valuations and knocking it out of the park. The growth was expected. Lower interest rates help, especially the cyclicals.

Logical Thesis (@logicalthesis) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Insiders might sell their shares for any number of reasons, but they buy them for only one: they think the price will rise - Peter Lynch $TREE

Logical Thesis (@logicalthesis) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Everyone on here acts like they're going to nail every entry with 200% IRR If this is your mentality you will likely underperform and end up bitter Be realistic. The sane people on here are looking for 12-15% IRR bc that is big time outperformance vs $SPY on avg

Logical Thesis (@logicalthesis) 's Twitter Profile Photo

I think the issue with all the "big winners" we see on here is: No chance these people take it in size And if they do, they probably don't realize the risk they're taking on. People think stocks are gambling. That's an issue