Some new descriptive work on what *citizens* think we should do about the far-right.

doi.org/10.1177/135406…

Die Berliner Morgenpost berichtet über Kontakte und Berührungspunkte zwischen Mitarbeitern der Brandenburger AfD-Landtagsfraktion und rechtsextremen Organisationen.

Mit einer Einschätzung von mir zu den Gefahren dieser Verbindungen.

Thrilled to see our work w/ Elias Dinas & Sergi Martínez Journal of Politics @[email protected].

Using data from flags hanging from balconies, we study a real-world case of changes in political norms: the normalization of Spanish nationalism after the referendum on Catalan independence.

journals.uchicago.edu/doi/epdf/10.10…

🚨Job🚨

I am looking for a postdoc for my DFG public | @[email protected] project “Powerful Polls” (@unipotsdam).

Start date: October 1 (latest)

Please share widely and apply!

Do not hesitate to get in touch in case of questions.

Full job add: uni-potsdam.de/fileadmin/proj…

Now avaible as a copy-edited article: 'Comparative Vote Switching' w/ Werner Krause and Tarik Abou-Chadi in Journal of Politics @[email protected]: journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/72…

Up to 50 ungated copies are available here: journals.uchicago.edu/eprint/MXXBMQY…

For a summary of the paper, see my thread below ⬇️

In einem Beitrag für den DVPW 🦣 @[email protected]-Blog zeigen Julius Kölzer, Christian Stecker und ich, welche Faktoren die Zugewinne der AfD bei den Landtagswahlen in Hessen und Bayern vom Oktober 2023 erklären: dvpw.de/blog/rekorde-i… Ein🧵1/6

A study underscores that the most robust immigrant removal programs have fallen short of their promises to reduce crime and are unlikely to achieve this goal in the future.

In The Associated Press: ow.ly/Ttpk50QV8f3

In PNAS: ow.ly/C7p050QV8f4

New article accepted at Journal of Politics @[email protected]. In the article, Hauke Licht Pablo Barberá Whitney Hua, PhD and I develop a new measure of parties' anti-elite appeals based on Twitter data and show how parties strategically use these appeals.
Details in Hauke's thread below.
osf.io/preprints/osf/…

Können wir Umfragen trauen? Sind repräsentative Surveys möglich?

Ich habe mit Kathrin Kühn vom Deutschlandfunk gesprochen. Dabei auch Werner Krause und Rainer Schnell.

Ein 20-Minuten-Panoramablick auf die Erkenntnisse der Meinungsforschung.

deutschlandfunk.de/wackeliges-fun…

Very happy to see this paper (w/ Denis Cohen | @[email protected] & Tarik Abou-Chadi) published Journal of Politics @[email protected]!

Check out this thread by Denis Cohen | @[email protected] for a summary of the paper‘s key points:

x.com/denis_cohen/st…

Tobias Heidland, moving to heidland.bsky.social and I show in EJPR journal that Merkel's famous 2015 decision NOT to close the border had no pull effect on #Migration in the following years. After a lot of data crunching and many rounds of review, I am thrilled to see this out today! ejpr.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/14…

🚨Job Alert🚨We are looking for a Post-doc to help us forecast the next German federal election zweitstimme.org ! 3-year position at University Witten/Herdecke. Application deadline: 04 April 2024. Please apply and reach out any for questions uni-wh.softgarden.io/job/42530117?l…

Article alert: Britt Vande Walle and I propose a typology of political party think tanks based on their functions and audiences, with an application to Dutch and Flemish party think tanks cambridge.org/core/journals/…

🥳👇

This is so important (and a great summary) by Werner Krause & Christina Gahn on more responsible polling visualisation:
theloop.ecpr.eu/how-powerful-a…