The entire UVA Center for Politics at UVA 25th anniversary weekend was amazing & I had a blast moderating this all-star panel, featuring Paul Begala, b-boy bouiebaisse, Donna F. Edwards, Sarah Longwell, Chuck Todd & Larry Sabato after inspiring words from Martin Luther King III...

youtu.be/e44k1J4ZFTw?si…

The two most ironic buttons in my collection.

As part of our Center for Politics at UVA 25th anniversary weekend, we had what I thought was one of our most fun events ever -- a concert of presidential campaign songs. If you listen near the start, you will have an 'aha' moment during the John Adams song youtube.com/watch?v=lpCX4l…

Congratulations to our UVai Project class & Prof. Carah Ong Whaley for researching, writing and assisting in passing a new state law establishing an official state commission to study generative AI. Students are educating the public on their research through informational flyers below.

*Minnesota looks around to all of its neighbors* “why can’t you all make up your minds?”

two quarter centuries of Electoral College results -- 2000-2020 on the left, 1976-1996 on the right. What will the next quarter century hold? Our Electoral College time capsule for 2049 - centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/an…

Another blockbuster Wisconsin Supreme Court race coming next year

What will the Electoral College look like in 2049, when the ⁦Center for Politics at UVA⁩ will be turning 50? And what did it look like when we started in the late 90s? Tracking a half-century of change and stability centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/an…

Care to take a (possible) peek into the future? From Kyle Kondik for Larry Sabato Center for Politics at UVA (the Center is now 25). A great deal of realignment has occurred--will it continue, and what part of the base will it alter?
An Electoral College Time Capsule centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/an…

Crystal Ball - An Electoral College Time Capsule; a look at how the map has changed in two 25-year intervals centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/an…

What to make of yesterday's ruling from the Arizona state Supreme Court that restricts abortion access? J. Miles Coleman for Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball looks at its political implications in this swing state.

centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/ma…

Legislative Republicans in Ohio arguably had a chance to act in advance to take the steam out of last year’s abortion rights ballot issue (they didn’t, and it passed) - Arizona Rs now faced with the same choice

A (very fair!) critique I get often about the crosstab aggregator is that it compares polls in a given month to 2020 results — as opposed to 2024 polls to 2020 polls at that same time (🍎 to 🍎)

So here’s March 2024 polls vs. March 2020 polls by some key age & race groups

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🌟Awesome time UVA, celebrating Center for Politics at UVA 25th anniversary & the legendary Larry Sabato. Great to join GA Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger, Kyle Kondik, & Tammy Haddad for a panel on AI & Elections, hear from the inspiring Martin Luther King III, & spend time w/friends Chris Krebs & Dmitri Alperovitch.

As the recent Crystal Ball article quoted about what I had written before (centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/se…) there's a very simple explanation: Seniors are answering too Dem for reasons I won't get into but while 2020 skewed to Biden because of it, pollsters adjusted by weighting to retro

For helping us celebrate 25th anniversary of UVA Center for Politics at UVA & break ground on new building, we thank (!) our participating faculty, scholars, board members, presenters & panelists: Liz Cheney Martin Luther King III L. Douglas Wilder Cindy McCain GA Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger Jim Ryan…

New: Beneath the overall stability of the 2024 polling is a wild inversion of longstanding trends among the youngest and oldest slices of the electorate.

Is it real, and what might it mean? politico.com/news/2024/04/0…

“The Electoral College question looming over 2024” from ⁦Mark Murray⁩ nbcnews.com/politics/2024-…

Showstopping performance tonight of 'Lift Every Voice' by UVA Chamber Choir directed by Prof. Michael Slon w/ surprise guest singer Center for Politics at UVA' Professor of Practice @officialmlk3 during Center's 25th anniversary weekend. Center director Larry Sabato thanks Prof Slon after.…

THANK YOU! To all who supported our Center for Politics at UVA 25th anniversary fundraising campaign, we reached 182% of our goal. Wow! Thank you. You're all very special to us & we appreciate everything you do! It's a happy 25th anniversary, for sure. givecampus.com/f8p17g