Excited to hear that "Rational Polarization" was just selected for the 2023 Philosopher's Annual! dailynous.com/2024/08/21/phi…

Hunch: people are less likely to probability-match under conditions of RISK (known probabilities) than UNCERTAINTY (unknown probs). Any economists or psych folks know whether there's evidence for or against this? ('prob match'= if x happens 70% of time, predict it 70% of time)

🚨🚨 New paper "Bigger, Badder Bugs" with Jack Spencer out in Mind on Humean chance, laws of nature, and deference. 1/

🚨New in Nature Human Behaviour 🚨 Will misinfo warning labels backfire for ppl who distrust fact-checkers? No! Labels reduce belief in & sharing of false news even for those highly distrusting of fact-checkers - warning labels are a key tool for platforms! rdcu.be/dSHtF

*Very* excited for this paper-led by amazing Cameron Martel (on the job market!)-to be out. He validates a scale for trust in fact-checkers & presents experiments w 14k subjects showing that fact-checker warnings reduce misinfo belief + sharing even among those low in trust!

I love this paper