Joost van der Leij (@joostvanderleij) 's Twitter Profile
Joost van der Leij

@joostvanderleij

Philosopher applying Bayesianism to football (see: linktr.ee/joostvanderleij) DM open for requests! Also if you want to use our AI agent for scouting.

ID: 5908532

linkhttps://footballbehaviormanagement.com/ calendar_today09-05-2007 18:52:14

15,15K Tweet

6,6K Followers

243 Following

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Good to see that Ermedin Demirovic did much better in 24/25 VfB Stuttgart | Pokalsieger 2025 than he did at Freiburg. And he must have done much better at Augsburg as well given the big transfer. In any case in 24/25 he maxed out his finishing probability and he has a bit of passing game probability.

Good to see that Ermedin Demirovic did much better in 24/25 <a href="/VfB/">VfB Stuttgart | Pokalsieger 2025</a> than he did at Freiburg. And he must have done much better at Augsburg as well given the big transfer.

In any case in 24/25 he maxed out his finishing probability and he has a bit of passing game probability.
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Gustavo Castelano Luis VfB Stuttgart | Pokalsieger 2025 Jorge Carrascal had a very good season at Dinamo Moskou in 24/25 with high defending probability which is very rare for an AM / CF and decent finishing probability and decent passing game probability (graphs overlap)

<a href="/gucastelano/">Gustavo Castelano</a> <a href="/luuuu1s/">Luis</a> <a href="/VfB/">VfB Stuttgart | Pokalsieger 2025</a> Jorge Carrascal had a very good season at Dinamo Moskou in 24/25 with high defending probability which is very rare for an AM / CF and decent finishing probability and decent passing game probability (graphs overlap)
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Million Manhoef disappoints as a winger in 24/25 playing for Stoke City FC with decent creativity and a bit of finishing probability, but his finishing probability is too low for what we expect of him. Of course if he is the only winger with a bit of finishing probability then you

Million Manhoef disappoints as a winger in 24/25 playing for <a href="/stokecity/">Stoke City FC</a> with decent creativity and a bit of finishing probability, but his finishing probability is too low for what we expect of him.

Of course if he is the only winger with a bit of finishing probability then you
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DM request: Joris Chotard is a good DM with high defending probability and decent passing game probability, all the more remarkable given that he played for the weakest team in the Ligue 1. Replacement value for Montpellier = €3,404,227.

DM request: Joris Chotard is a good DM with high defending probability and decent passing game probability, all the more remarkable given that he played for the weakest team in the Ligue 1.

Replacement value for Montpellier = €3,404,227.
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DM request: Benjamin Nygren is a very good winger with very high finishing probability and high defending probability and a bit of passing game probability. Another good catch for Nordsjaelland! Replacement value for Nordsjaelland = €3,746,199.

DM request: Benjamin Nygren is a very good winger with very high finishing probability and high defending probability and a bit of passing game probability. Another good catch for Nordsjaelland!

Replacement value for Nordsjaelland = €3,746,199.
Joost van der Leij (@joostvanderleij) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Kerem Mustafa Hekimoğlu is an above par striker with decent finishing probability. Which is very good at this young age. Replacement value for Besiktas = €2,274,099.

<a href="/kermanalitk/">Kerem</a> Mustafa Hekimoğlu is an above par striker with decent finishing probability. Which is very good at this young age.

Replacement value for Besiktas = €2,274,099.
Joost van der Leij (@joostvanderleij) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Chris W.M. 𝕏 Cherrion Valerius is a good RB with high defending probability and a bit of passing game probability and creativity. A solid and decent defender, but with low finishing probability. Replacement value for NAC Breda 💛🖤 = €527,393.

<a href="/_ChrisWM_/">Chris W.M. 𝕏</a> Cherrion Valerius is a good RB with high defending probability and a bit of passing game probability and creativity. A solid and decent defender, but with low finishing probability.

Replacement value for <a href="/NACnl/">NAC Breda 💛🖤</a> = €527,393.
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DM request: Arne Engels is a very good midfielder with maxed out finishing probability and very high defending probability, but low passing game probability. A really weird but also rare profile for a midfielder as normally they excel in passing. Arne Engels does have decent

DM request: Arne Engels is a very good midfielder with maxed out finishing probability and very high defending probability, but low passing game probability. A really weird but also rare profile for a midfielder as normally they excel in passing. 

Arne Engels does have decent
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La Momia Futbolista U.C. Sampdoria Brentford FC CRUZ AZUL Érik Lira is a very good CB with maxed out defending probability and very high passing game probability. He certainly performs much better as a CB than a DM! Replacement value for Cruz Azul = €2,891,185. So that is a lot more ;-)

<a href="/Eduardo18062771/">La Momia Futbolista</a> <a href="/sampdoria/">U.C. Sampdoria</a> <a href="/BrentfordFC/">Brentford FC</a> <a href="/CruzAzul/">CRUZ AZUL</a> Érik Lira is a very good CB with maxed out defending probability and very high passing game probability. He certainly performs much better as a CB than a DM!

Replacement value for Cruz Azul = €2,891,185. So that is a lot more ;-)
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DM request: Lennon Miller is a very good connecting and defending midfielder with very high defending probability and high passing game probability. He is also very creative. Sometimes he plays as an AM but his low finishing probability make that a less desirable position for him

DM request: Lennon Miller is a very good connecting and defending midfielder with very high defending probability and high passing game probability. He is also very creative. Sometimes he plays as an AM but his low finishing probability make that a less desirable position for him
Joost van der Leij (@joostvanderleij) 's Twitter Profile Photo

DM request: Nectarios Triantis is a superstar DM/CM in Scotland! He has maxed out defending probability combined with high passing game probability and decent finishing probability. If I were to judge on just the 24/25 season I would prefer Nectarios Triantis strongly over Lennon

DM request: Nectarios Triantis is a superstar DM/CM in Scotland! He has maxed out defending probability combined with high passing game probability and decent finishing probability. If I were to judge on just the 24/25 season I would prefer Nectarios Triantis strongly over Lennon
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DM request: rumor has it that Rangers is interested in Kwame Poku. Well, Kwame Poku is a very good winger in the English tier #3 with maxed out finishing probability and a bit of passing game probability. Given that he achieves this performance playing for one of the weaker

DM request: rumor has it that Rangers is interested in Kwame Poku. Well, Kwame Poku is a very good winger in the English tier #3 with maxed out finishing probability and a bit of passing game probability. Given that he achieves this performance playing for one of the weaker
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DM request: Johan Bakayoko has a bad 24/25 season with low finishing probability and very low passing game probability. He has high defending probability and that will probably mean that if he stays with PSV that he will play more and more as a wingback. He also has high

DM request: Johan Bakayoko has a bad 24/25 season with low finishing probability and very low passing game probability. He has high defending probability and that will probably mean that if he stays with <a href="/PSV/">PSV</a> that he will play more and more as a wingback.

He also has high
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DM request: Soufiane El-Faouzi is a good defending and connecting midfielder. Unfortunately, he also plays as an AM which is way less successful due to low finishing probability. But as a CM or even a DM he will do quite nicely due to high defending probability and decent passing

DM request: Soufiane El-Faouzi is a good defending and connecting midfielder. Unfortunately, he also plays as an AM which is way less successful due to low finishing probability. But as a CM or even a DM he will do quite nicely due to high defending probability and decent passing
Joost van der Leij (@joostvanderleij) 's Twitter Profile Photo

DM request: Endre Osenbroch is a subpar player who can play in many different positions. He is listed as a winger, but also plays as a midfielder or even a striker. But he has okayish defending probability (but too low for a defender), a bit of passing game probability and low

DM request: Endre Osenbroch is a subpar player who can play in many different positions. He is listed as a winger, but also plays as a midfielder or even a striker. But he has okayish defending probability (but too low for a defender), a bit of passing game probability and low
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DM update request: Marcos Leonardo is having a much better time in Saudi Arabia in 24/25 with maxed out finishing probability and decent passing game probability.

DM update request: Marcos Leonardo is having a much better time in Saudi Arabia in 24/25 with maxed out finishing probability and decent passing game probability.
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BMG Peter Federico had a very bad performance in 24/25 with low passing game probability, low defending probability and very low finishing probability. Unless he improves considerably in 25/26 he would be a miss-hire for Getafe. Replacement value for Getafe = €3,681,431. So he is

<a href="/bmg5195/">BMG</a> Peter Federico had a very bad performance in 24/25 with low passing game probability, low defending probability and very low finishing probability. Unless he improves considerably in 25/26 he would be a miss-hire for Getafe.

Replacement value for Getafe = €3,681,431. So he is
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DM request: Gonzalo Villar is an above par CM with high passing game probability and decent defending probability (but too low for a defender).

DM request:  Gonzalo Villar is an above par CM with high passing game probability and decent defending probability (but too low for a defender).
Joost van der Leij (@joostvanderleij) 's Twitter Profile Photo

DM request: James Wilson is a good striker with very high finishing probability and a bit of passing game probability. Replacement value for Hearts = €493,596.

DM request:  James Wilson is a good striker with very high finishing probability and a bit of passing game probability.

Replacement value for Hearts = €493,596.
Joost van der Leij (@joostvanderleij) 's Twitter Profile Photo

DM update request: Nodar Lominadze is a prime example why it is not a good idea to turn a DM/CM into a AM or even a striker. In his previous role he had decent finishing probabilty, so I can understand why a manager would make this change. Yet, it didnt turn out well with very

DM update request: Nodar Lominadze is a prime example why it is not a good idea to turn a DM/CM into a AM or even a striker. In his previous role he had decent finishing probabilty, so I can understand why a manager would make this change. 

Yet, it didnt turn out well with very