Chris Elmendorf Clayton Nall Stan Oklobdzija Governor Tina Kotek The fact that people have “a limited and unstable understanding of housing markets” points not so much to popular “skepticism” of new housing but to “naivete,” the authors put it in their newly updated paper.

So: education might help. At least a little.

This is an excellent read. If ever there is no audience for a 10k word long form piece about the interplay of VAN, private interests, and the needs of the Dem technology space, then I am dead.

I love the EA forum; someone BOTECed how many people cry on a given day.

(it's 628,350,575, per forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/rXYW9GPs…)

Coward

This election truly is THE most important election of our lifetime -- and I mean this as someone who generally poo-poo's that kind of thing.

I too say this every month and never succeed

The modal response to this thread (⤵️) has been 'YIMBYism is doomed.'

I don't think that's right. Here's why:
🧵/9

5. Chris Warshaw has a cool paper showing that there's a lot of 'mean reversion' in ballot-measure vote shares relative to opinion polls. (h/t Jonathan Robinson 🏗🏘👋)

And statewide rent control got crushed at the ballot in CA in recent years. Twice.
/7
twitter.com/cwarshaw/statu…

I often encourage folks to 'embrace the uncertainty' -- this Becca Siegel talk is fantastic on this score and should be required watching for anyone entering political polling/analytics. We are lucky to have her.

.Becca Siegel, Senior Adviser on the Biden campaign gave a fun talk on Presidential campaigns & analytics. Fun chart showing some 2020 forecasts (and talk about age imputation in Wisconsin...a nerdy delight)

youtube.com/watch?v=JSRX3j…

Always read Micah Sifry (dormant account, find me below)

micahsifry.com/project/living…

The second-most powerful man in Russia apparently believes that Texas will eventually allow itself to be re-annexed by Mexico. theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/…

INTERACTIVE MAP & RESEARCH: How much of your city's new housing is priced affordable to low-income families? Probably more than you think! Glad to be in Metropolitan Abundance Project:
metroabundance.org/how-inclusiona…

Cool looking book for the Needle-heads out there (h/t Derek Willis for the mention in his newsletter)

Democrats everywhere & Pennsylvanians are forever in your debt, Adam Jentleson! Thank you for taking good care of the big guy.

Climate NIMBYism delays & kills clean energy projects all because liberals are worried about preserving costly environmental review legal delays for fossil fuel projects that aren't even close to the majority of the delays

I am a huge Masters of Scale fan. So I was especially excited to join 🇺🇸 Jeff Berman 🇺🇸 on the show to talk about Protect Democracy.

Hope it helps others in the same boat we were in trying to found something new. And would love to hear any feedback or thoughts. mastersofscale.com/episode/leadin…

just build stuff

Candace Parker is my GOAT. She’s done it all. One of the greatest careers we’ll ever see. Thank you for everything and enjoy retirement 💕

.Arnab Datta and James Coleman have an important piece in Matthew Yglesias’s Slow Boring today looking at how clean energy projects can get stuck in an indefinite cycle of environmental review, judicial injunction, and then remand for more review.

slowboring.com/p/we-must-end-…