EU leaders view their ties with China through the lens of the war in Ukraine. Beijing, however, sees its relations through the prism of the US containment strategy. Read Yu Jie's (Chatham House Asia-Pacific) latest on 🇪🇺🇨🇳 ties for Chatham House⤵️ chathamhouse.org/2025/07/china-…

By 2030 “Russia will possess the means once again to pose a military threat to Western countries, and European countries in particular” The head of 🇫🇷 armed forces General Thierry Burkhard Chef d'état-major des armées talks to me and Shashank Joshi in The Economist this week economist.com/europe/2025/07…

"Although Israel and the United States did considerable damage to Iran’s nuclear facilities, Iran may be able to produce the fissile material required for about ten nuclear weapons within half a year." Stark analysis by Mark Fitzpatrick for IISS News. iiss.org/online-analysi…

A wasteland of rubble, dust and graves: how Gaza looks from the sky theguardian.com/world/2025/aug…

With Hezbollah badly mauled following its war with Israel and much of its leadership destroyed, the United States sees an opportunity to end a long-standing threat to Israel and Lebanon. chathamhouse.org/2025/07/lebano…

A fascinating interview with my Chatham House colleague Chietigj Bajpaee on Donald Trump’s threat to put tariffs on India and how New Delhi and Narendra Modi are responding. Interesting insights too on India’s wider geopolitical worldview. ⬇️

Whilst Hezbollah has relinquished some of its weapons to the Lebanese army in areas south of the Litani River — it refuses to give up its arsenal in the Bekaa Valley, and the southern suburbs of Beirut. chathamhouse.org/2025/07/lebano…

Good analysis here by my Chatham House colleague Yu Jie on the current tensions and wider dynamics at play within US-China relations⬇️

"Australia lacks cover for its navy beyond the reach of land-based F-35As and F/A-18F Super Hornets. British and Japanese carriers could help protect amphibious and surface groups sailing from Australia." An interesting read by Euan Graham for ASPI. x.com/ASPI_org/statu…

Senior Consulting Fellow Keir Giles (CH Russia Eurasia) joined Times Radio this morning to discuss the aftermath of the summit between Vladimir Putin and Donald Trump in Alaska. Listen in full⤵️

“Trump gave Putin more space to manipulate, mislead and buy time. Alaska has emboldened Putin, who is likely to prolong, not end, the war.” Orysia Lutsevych (Ukraine Forum) on the Alaska summit between Vladimir Putin and Donald Trump for Chatham House⤵️ chathamhouse.org/2025/08/trump-…

“Putin validated Trump’s point of view by calling Ukraine ‘Biden’s war’ and calling the 2020 election rigged.” Orysia Lutsevych (Ukraine Forum) joined CNN to discuss the summit between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin in Alaska⤵️

As the ignominy of Alaska recedes, don’t lose sight of what Putin alluded to at that presser as his biggest fear: Europe uniting around Ukraine and putting enormous pressure on Trump to reject the Russian demands, possibly by offering their own incentives for doing so. The EU is

As Europe faces down Russia, Poland is becoming the weakest link on.ft.com/45mZN1T | opinion

Can Europe win the battle for how Trump’s makes peace in Ukraine? Yesterday’s event showed a united front but will Trump stick with it? My analysis here ⬇️ chathamhouse.org/2025/08/trumps…

Positive indications on US security guarantees are welcome — but Donald Trump still believes in personal diplomacy with a Russian leader who has yet to even hint at concessions. Read Orysia Lutsevych (Ukraine Forum) analysis on the Zelenskyy-Trump summit⤵️ chathamhouse.org/2025/08/trumps…

"Anything that obstructs President Putin in his ambition to destroy Ukraine is not going to be something that he agrees to." Senior consulting fellow Keir Giles (CH Russia Eurasia) joined BBC News (UK) to discuss the prospect of US security guarantees for Ukraine⤵️

“A fierce war of words is still being waged by both countries, as they seek to win international sympathy and shore up public support at home. And a commonly-held view in Thailand is that they are losing.” bbc.co.uk/news/articles/…

"We're seeing a shift to the right and centre-right with Tuto Quiroga. It's an expression of people's rejection of the [Movimiento al Socialismo] and its economic policies." Christopher Sabatini (Chatham House Americas) on the fall of Evo Morales and Bolivia's presidential election, via CNN⤵️

Pentagon fires intelligence agency chief after Iran attack assessment bbc.in/47HpefY