Jake Cardonick (@jakecar120) 's Twitter Profile
Jake Cardonick

@jakecar120

University of Chicago Statistics, Economics, and Data Science. Another nerd ruining sports. footballanalyticsnerd.netlify.app

ID: 1782868539231109120

calendar_today23-04-2024 20:26:04

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Pressure to Sack Rate is an important trait for NFL quarterbacks. But how well does college P2S predict it? The answer: not well. College P2S has very little correlation with NFL performance. By around Year 3, though, the metric starts to stabilize. That’s when we begin to get a

Pressure to Sack Rate is an important trait for NFL quarterbacks. But how well does college P2S predict it? The answer: not well. College P2S has very little correlation with NFL performance. By around Year 3, though, the metric starts to stabilize. That’s when we begin to get a
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Just like with Pressure to Sack Rate, Turnover-Worthy Play % in college doesn’t translate well to the NFL. Outside of Year 1, college TWP% has little to no predictive power for future performance.

Just like with Pressure to Sack Rate, Turnover-Worthy Play % in college doesn’t translate well to the NFL. Outside of Year 1, college TWP% has little to no predictive power for future performance.
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How much can we learn from first-round QBs throwing the deep ball in college? This chart suggests a clear "danger zone" for quarterbacks who either failed to create big time throws or struggled to avoid turnover worthy plays on deep throws. Most of the QBs who fell into these

How much can we learn from first-round QBs throwing the deep ball in college? This chart suggests a clear "danger zone" for quarterbacks who either failed to create big time throws or struggled to avoid turnover worthy plays on deep throws. Most of the QBs who fell into these
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This chart shows which first-round QBs from 2015–2025 met a baseline of six simple college performance metrics. I won’t share the exact thresholds, but the goal is to flag missed benchmarks that often pointed to flaws that carried into the NFL.

This chart shows which first-round QBs from 2015–2025 met a baseline of six simple college performance metrics. I won’t share the exact thresholds, but the goal is to flag missed benchmarks that often pointed to flaws that carried into the NFL.
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The 49ers lock up Brock Purdy long-term. Purdy has been an above-average starting QB and is still just 25 years old. Analytics here:

The 49ers lock up Brock Purdy long-term. Purdy has been an above-average starting QB and is still just 25 years old. Analytics here:
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As totally unbiased Mizzou grad Jack Soble has pointed out, #Cardinals Darius Robinson qualified for 9/10 thresholds as an IDL in 2022, and then 5/7 thresholds as an EDGE in 2023. That versatility will be really valuable for Jonathan Gannon's defense.