Jac Larner (@jaclarner) 's Twitter Profile
Jac Larner

@jaclarner

Politics Lecturer Cardiff Uni & Fellow Edinburgh Uni.

Political Psychology 🧠 & Public Opinion.

Working on Welsh & Scottish Election Studies 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿

ID: 1561289916

linkhttps://jaclarner.github.io/jaclarner/ calendar_today01-07-2013 19:37:03

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On last day before voting, see how you compare to the parties on the issues important to you Check out our vote compass below! votecompass.uk

Jac Larner (@jaclarner) 's Twitter Profile Photo

In Wales, Exit Poll has Tories holding Mont & Monmouthshire, but losing Brecon by big margin. Ynys Môn and Caerfyrddin with healthy margins for Plaid, but Exit polls have historically struggled with predicting Plaid seats

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Early first look at some of the Pre-election Welsh Election Study Data Wales Governance Centre Here is change in Conservative vote by different demographics in our 2019 pre-election data vs 2024. Not good Will keep updating this thread through the night

Early first look at some of the Pre-election Welsh Election Study Data <a href="/WalesGovernance/">Wales Governance Centre</a> 

Here is change in Conservative vote by different demographics in our 2019 pre-election data vs 2024. Not good

Will keep updating this thread through the night
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Clear trend emerging in Wales: - Labour vote down across South Wales, but not facing much competition at all - Plaid up everywhere - Reform likely will finish second in vote share - Tory drop off in line with most pessimistic polls

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Last chance to apply for 12 month position working with us on the Welsh Election Study. Ideal for someone close to submitting/ has already submitted PhD

UK in a Changing Europe (@ukandeu) 's Twitter Profile Photo

✍️ "Perhaps the most intriguing development in Wales was the surge of Reform UK." 🚨NEW: As Welsh Labour gets a new leader, Jac Larner unpacks the general election result in Wales, exploring the potential cracks in Welsh Labour's foundations. ukandeu.ac.uk/welsh-labour-a…

✍️ "Perhaps the most intriguing development in Wales was the surge of Reform UK."

🚨NEW: As Welsh Labour gets a new leader, <a href="/Jaclarner/">Jac Larner</a> unpacks the general election result in Wales, exploring the potential cracks in Welsh Labour's foundations.

ukandeu.ac.uk/welsh-labour-a…
Nye Davies (@nye_davies) 's Twitter Profile Photo

New piece from me about Eluned Morgan's election. While unity and continuity may sound good for Welsh Labour, something different is needed for Wales theconversation.com/eluned-morgan-…

Wales Governance Centre (@walesgovernance) 's Twitter Profile Photo

BRECWAST BRIFFIO: Ymunwch â'r tîm Astudiaeth Etholiad Cymru bore Iau i drafod data a dadansodiaddau newydd o'r etholiad y DU 2024: BREAKFAST BRIEFING: Join Jac Larner & Richard Wyn Jones on Thursday to discuss new data and analysis from the Wales Election Study: eventbrite.co.uk/e/event-the-20…