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more confirmation today

if it looks like a duck and quacks like a duck, then it probably is a duck. now replace the animal.

zoom out. its a bear.

if you get one more bounce then use it but its not the base case.

wen this moves fast you can expect intervention or change in tone quick.

did 60s then 30s now like going for the next spike

think its happening ..

heres the eli5 playbook > HTF charts cooked. check ANY monthly from Apple to Tesla to BTC to HYG to anything. these take time to repair. only strong chart was btc/spy during yesterdays bounce even that failed to make highs. not good. > MTF we are range lows + everything

as traders we have the luxury of switching bias at will or sitting on cash. irl business do not. if you have friends & family who are impacted by this. reach out. they are definitely struggling. sometimes “I got your back” is enough till they figure it out.

🚨 TRUMP: AUTHORIZED A 90 DAY PAUSE ON TARIFFS

done. follow thru or not will be key. anything other than full retracment is normal given the upmove.

crossing 5% on us30y likely to break a lot of things. seeing it in $ already. pretty much expect all hands on deck.

its not really unusual. every (even potential) riskon szn theres 1 or 2 coins that has all the crypto attention. in 2023 till early 24 it was wif and some other memes. you would see wif breakout before majors. currently its fartcoin. even hype. it intuitively makes

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f(art) of the deal.

next week he will create chaos somewhere else to take attention of this. hopefully non market related.

not a goldbug. all signs of gold local top was there from sentiment to flows to news(retreat on tariffs) to respite in falling dollar. instead we got a fresh breakout. this dynamics will likely spill over to btc at some point.

vibe check