we can't catch a break 📉

Netanyahu's espionage scandal: To cover up Bibi's stonewalling on a hostage deal, a spokesman allegedly leaked a top-secret document that revealed intel sources—the nightmare of every intel agency. My latest The Atlantic theatlantic.com/international/… Josh Marshall Noga Tarnopolsky נגה טרנופולסקי نوغا ترنوبولسكي Bluesky Gruesky

"thanks so much for the feedback"

It would be foolish to give up this powerful leverage for free. I would expect HMG to demand quite a bit in return.

if academics are so smart why can't they connect to eduroam?

This was good. I share Ryan Evans and Michael Kofman frustrations with US policy. However, the UK is in no position to lead a postwar force as part of a sy guarantee. Have you seen the state of things in UK defence? Spending set to *rise* to maintenance levels 2025...

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Queen Elizabeth ‘believed that every Israeli was either a terrorist or a son of a terrorist’. Not a huge surprise given that her confidant, Martin Charteris, was head of staff intelligence in Palestine and led the fight against Begin and Shamir timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry…

Interesting thread.

IAF sky writing the yellow ribbon (free the hostages) above the justice minister's house after he restarts campaign for anti-democratic judicial reforms.

The educational bookshop is one of the most important cultural institutions in East Jerusalem. This police raid is a disgrace

This is such an outrage.

I discussed the desecration of two corpses by #Hamas with David Harper on LBC News for broadcast this evening: Shira Bibas and the poor unknown victim they substituted. Key points: Hamas need to continue to confront Israel, or they have no reason to exist, but right now they 🧵

It's called "Golden Dome" because it'll be absurdly expensive despite its inherent worthlessness.

I have been spending the week working through the formal IDF and shin bet reports on 7 October. Will post about it soon. I am a bit concerned with the new chief of staff announcing a review of these. There are problems with them, but I'm not confident that he's after those.

Come see Dr Daniela Richterova Phil Davies and I at KCL 01 April 2025 5pm We are speaking in a forum as part of the UK book launch for Intelligence and Contemporary Conflict, ed. Dr Matthew Hefler. FREE COPIES for attendees thanks to the publisher! Info here kcl.ac.uk/events/book-la…

My colleagues and I wrote a short blog series on the occasion of Oleg Gordievsky's passing. My contribution teases some preliminary findings from my Able Archer wargame. intelligencestudiesreview.blog/category/bciss…

Channel 12 illustration of the drone op in Iran v the guardian illustration of Ukraine's drone op in Russia. That's one hell of a coincidence.

My latest BCISS blog post on the Iran Israel war. Was Iran really close to building a bomb? I doubt it, but who knows?! The pretext and cause for war are far less certain than its consequences. intelligencestudiesreview.blog/2025/06/18/sig…

Bibi: we won't be dragged into a war or attrition. When we achieve our objectives - the war will stop." Obviously, he's quoting everyone who ever got dragged into a war of attrition across space and time.