Jim Osman (@edgecgroup) 's Twitter Profile
Jim Osman

@edgecgroup

Founder, The Edge | 35+ yrs in Special Situations | TEDx Speaker | Forbes Contributor | Author of Price Catalysts | Quietly finding what others miss. 🇬🇧 🇺🇸

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linkhttp://www.edgecgroup.com calendar_today22-08-2011 14:57:06

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What If The Inflation Fight Is Already Lost? For two years, markets have danced to rate-cut hopes. But services inflation stays sticky. Wages rise. Rates remain high. ❌ Betting on a soft landing may be fantasy. ✅ We could be in a new regime: structurally high rates, high

What If The Inflation Fight Is Already Lost?

For two years, markets have danced to rate-cut hopes.
But services inflation stays sticky. Wages rise. Rates remain high.

❌ Betting on a soft landing may be fantasy.
✅ We could be in a new regime: structurally high rates, high
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Moody’s Downgrade: A Signal, Not Panic ✅ U.S. debt outlook turns negative ✅ Fiscal deadlock continues, deficits climb ✅ Watch bond yields, credit spreads, and gold ❌ Don’t expect immediate market chaos ❌ Don’t ignore structural risks Markets shrugged, but underlying

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The schoolboy Substack kid speaks. You just described mean reversion, not alpha. I study the catalysts that force markets to recognize value, not pray they eventually will. 🤡

The schoolboy Substack kid speaks.

You just described mean reversion, not alpha. I study the catalysts that force markets to recognize value, not pray they eventually will. 🤡
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When “Cheap” Is A Trap You see a stock at 3× earnings. Revenue down, dividend cut, price down 75%. On paper, it screams “bargain.” ❌ Not all cheap stocks recover. Price alone is not a thesis. Some remain cheap for a reason. ✅ Focus on recovery catalysts. ✅ Examine the

When “Cheap” Is A Trap

You see a stock at 3× earnings.
Revenue down, dividend cut, price down 75%.
On paper, it screams “bargain.”

❌ Not all cheap stocks recover.
Price alone is not a thesis.
Some remain cheap for a reason.

✅ Focus on recovery catalysts.
✅ Examine the
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Passive Investing Isn’t Risk-Free ✅ ETFs offer low fees and broad exposure. ❌ Liquidity can vanish in stress. Small-cap and niche ETFs may decouple from underlying assets. ❌ Price signals weaken as passive flows buy blindly, ignoring fundamentals. ❌ Crowded portfolios

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A disgruntled Value PM answers me through a burner account. 👋 In fact most of the feedback I received on the article agree with me. Analyze future change.

A disgruntled Value PM answers me through a burner account. 👋 In fact most of the feedback I received on the article agree with me. Analyze future change.
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Sometimes the best move is no move. The edge isn’t in trading, it’s in waiting. Most investors chase the next overnight return and miss the compounding that happens in patience. Let the setup come to you. The best investments make you wait first.

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When Expensive Isn’t A Ripoff $500 a share? Too pricey, right? ❌ Not always. Price ≠ value. A high price can reflect a business others can’t replicate. Some stocks stay “expensive” because they deserve to. ✅ Sustainable Competitive Advantage Great companies have moats,

When Expensive Isn’t A Ripoff

$500 a share? Too pricey, right? ❌
Not always. Price ≠ value. A high price can reflect a business others can’t replicate. Some stocks stay “expensive” because they deserve to.

✅ Sustainable Competitive Advantage
Great companies have moats,
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Liquidity isn’t guaranteed. It’s a mirage in today’s market. ❌ 2008 and 2020 proved the Fed could rescue. ✅ Today? Rates are high. Inflation is sticky. ETFs look liquid. But under stress, spreads blow out. Illiquid bonds. Thin stocks. Private equity trapped. ❌ Treasuries

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Investors hate what they can’t model. When the inputs break their spreadsheets, they label the output irrational. I'm writing an article for @barchart to help you understand why this is and help you see beyond the numbers. Follow me below: barchart.com/news/authors/3…

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If you think AI’s a bubble, you’re already late. The real money isn’t in hype; it’s in structure. My latest for Barchart on why AI is a technological rerating, not a mania. barchart.com/story/news/355…

If you think AI’s a bubble, you’re already late.
The real money isn’t in hype; it’s in structure.
My latest for <a href="/Barchart/">Barchart</a> on why AI is a technological rerating, not a mania. barchart.com/story/news/355…