👪🎓New workshop on #CausalML @ Munich Center for Machine Learning mcml.ai/events/2024-08…

In Simpson's Paradox, when we say (e.g) there's a correlation in a population but not any subpops, do we mean a correlation in the population or in the sample? In the SEP article we assumed the former, but Hoover understands it in terms of the latter. philpapers.org/rec/HOONTS

I'm looking for a new post-doc or two, to start any time in the next 9 months or so. Causal inference, public health applications, policy evaluation, etc. Details here; spread the word! elizabethstuart.org/files/PostDoct…

Just finished this fascinating book (only in German, unfortunately). I was surprised I hadn’t heard of the Relotius scandal, but it was only noted once in NYT. The guy won loads of reporting prizes before he was uncovered to have fabricated most of it. en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Claas_Rel…

I’m happy to share that my paper “Is Quantitative Measurement in the Human Sciences Doomed? On the Quantity Objection” has been accepted for publication by The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science. Check it out here: journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/73… Or ask me for a copy!

Pearl on causal bandits. One for the ages. youtube.com/watch?v=yqKJ9p…

Again really amazing to me that people say “everything is political” to try to obscure the fact that you can be more or less political and it’s a choice. It’s like saying “everyone dies, so no point in trying to live a healthy lifestyle”.

I'm very proud of Anna Guo and excited to share our new manuscript on flexible #causal effect estimation in a broad class of DAGs with unmeasured confounders. #CausalTwitter arxiv.org/pdf/2409.03962

I'll be curious to read this paper referenced today by Ross Douthat & welcome comments from experts on the topic. To me it seems like a single paper (draft?) doesn't justify the "almost certainly" claim, though I guess nothing in this domain is settled. jadhazell.github.io/website/Fiscal…

Thanks for two and a half exciting days at CEPDISC’24 last week exploring discrimination in general and discrimination from the perspective of social psychology and philosophy in particular. Thank you to all the incredible speakers and participants who joined CEPDISC'24.

Ok. So the 24-30 month olds got it. Now let's work on the statisticians.

Thanks, Alex, for the shoutout. I'm glad you liked it.

This might be recency bias, but I think this is the best paper I've written. It showcases how causal models can unite engineering, dynamic systems theory and biology, while pointing to the work to be done in learning and applying causal concepts. philsci-archive.pitt.edu/25288/

70% of physics is breaking down the system into a simple harmonic oscillation

Very cool! There's definitely a strong connection between my paper and RL, and in the paper I only allude to it. Would be thrilled to discuss it further.

I decided to make a youtube channel in which I introduce key concepts from causal inference in videos of roughly 10 minutes. The first episode "Correlation Does Imply Causation" is now online. Feedback would be very welcome. youtu.be/uIUKXY8_G-M

Episode 2 of Causal Foundations will be released on Monday. Subscribe to my channel be notified when it is posted. youtube.com/@dagophile?si=…

While trying to figure out how searchable my channel is on YouTube, I've stumbled across videos of talks I didn't know were there. Here's a talk I gave at Yale, recorded by a professional film crew and well summarized in the description. youtube.com/watch?v=0m2T33…

Episode 2 of Causal Foundations is now online. Thanks to everyone for the very encouraging reactions to the opening video of the series. youtu.be/KVmpRaMkXWM?si…

Episode 3 is now up. In it, I discuss what the most underrated concept in causal inference: identifiability. It's what enables one to measure causal effects from data. I'm still figuring out the AV side of things. Feedback welcome! youtu.be/FABdstSaUA4