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New by me: This conflict is more than a military confrontation; it is a clash of ageing leaders now keen to secure their legacies. Khamenei, Netanyahu and Trump have paved the road to war with decades of miscalculation and brinkmanship.⁦Financial Times⁩ 1/ on.ft.com/45uLdpz

Morning interview with Lynda Kinkade on CNN International discussing the latest on the Israel-Iran war, possible diplomatic tracks, regime stability in Iran, and Trump's role and the need for consistent US leadership

'A wise ‘America First’ approach requires effective leadership, sound strategy, and forceful action to safeguard US interests. Instead, the US is at risk of being dragged into a war that it didn’t start,' writes Bilal Y Saab. chathamhouse.org/2025/06/trump-…

The instincts of Khamenei, Netanyahu & Trump will not only determine the outcome of this war, but potentially the future of the Islamic republic, the credibility of US power & the stability of an already fractured region, writes Sanam Vakil صنم وكىل via Financial Times. on.ft.com/3TwEqEt

“The world desperately needs a serious, sustained diplomatic effort at de-escalation in the Middle East,” writes Sanam Vakil صنم وكىل. “That effort must involve Iran and Israel and must be supported by Washington. But it can only be led, or at least catalyzed, by states in the region.”

'The Gulf states are fearful of escalation and spillover. They do not trust Netanyahu’s government, and their level of cooperation this time seems to be lower than during the Iranian drone attacks of a year ago,' writes Ksenia Svetlova كسنيا سفطلوفا. chathamhouse.org/2025/06/strike…

The world desperately needs a serious, sustained diplomatic effort at de-escalation. It must involve Iran & Israel & be supported by the US. But it can only be led, or at least catalyzed, by states in the region, writes Sanam Vakil صنم وكىل in Foreign Affairs. foreignaffairs.com/israel/last-ch…

US strikes Natanz, Esfahan and Fordow, Chatham House reaction Thread🧵 Sanam Vakil صنم وكىل, Director of Chatham House MENA. “From President Trump's statements he appears to views these strikes as a one-off. I think he wants this to end with a negotiation, with a deal and one that he can show

“This would be actually a cautious mix of options designed to show that Iran has the ability and the daring to stand up to Trump, but is still trying to avoid full-scale regional war.” My comments to Steven Erlanger nytimes.com/2025/06/22/wor…

حديثي لبرنامج "نيوز آور" عبر البي بي سي حول آخر التطورات في المنطقة، ذكرت أن الشرق الأوسط مر بالعديد من الصراعات ولم يعد يحتمل المزيد. العنف ليس الحل، ويجب أن تتوقف هذه الدوامة من التصعيد المستمر. Part of my take on latest developments in the region on the BBC Newshour

Khamenei could revert to his strategy of seeking to escalate to de-escalate. They are more boxed in than they have ever been and they need to find an off-ramp, says Sanam Vakil صنم وكىل via Financial Times. ft.com/content/cc87ad…

'Netanyahu has taken the gamble of his life and in doing so he is also gambling with Israel’s long-term security, and possibly that of the wider region as well,' writes Yossi Mekelberg via Arab News. arabnews.com/node/2605336

'Iran's options are terrible. Some are worse than others. The worse would be to go after the US military... Iran's response over the next 24-48 hours will determine the course of this conflict.' Bilal Y Saab via NBC News.

Thank you to Yousuf Al Bulushi from Muscat Policy Council (MPC) - مجلس مسقط للسياسات for visiting Chatham House to discuss Oman’s and the wider GCC’s de-escalatory role — a particularly important topic in these critical times for the region.

❗ TOMORROW: 'Kurdish peace: What does it mean for Turkey, the Kurds and the region?' Galip Dalay, Evren Balta 🫐, Hatem Ete, Hozan Ibrahim and Maria Luisa Fantappie discuss implications of the PKK’s dissolution. 📅 24 June ⏰ 14.00 BST 📍 Zoom Register now ⤵️ chathamhouse.org/events/all/res…