Caleb Harbert (@caleb_harbert) 's Twitter Profile
Caleb Harbert

@caleb_harbert

I love business, real estate and investing

ID: 1600864619832156160

calendar_today08-12-2022 14:47:32

346 Tweet

54 Takipçi

112 Takip Edilen

Caleb Harbert (@caleb_harbert) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Man, more good news comes out every day!! Kohl's $KSS earns the No. 2 rank among its peers in the Retail-Department Stores industry group. Dillard's $DDS is the No. 1-ranked stock within the group. investors.com/ibd-data-stori…

Caleb Harbert (@caleb_harbert) 's Twitter Profile Photo

This is shenanigans I don’t like with $hood. Supposedly $kss dropped to $13.80 so said sure I’ll buy. Won’t go through. Then look at limit order and look at that…

This is shenanigans I don’t like with $hood. Supposedly $kss dropped to $13.80 so said sure I’ll buy. Won’t go through. Then look at limit order and look at that…
Caleb Harbert (@caleb_harbert) 's Twitter Profile Photo

““Do not remember the former things, Or ponder the things of the past. “Listen carefully, I am about to do a new thing, Now it will spring forth; Will you not be aware of it? I will even put a road in the wilderness, Rivers in the desert.” Isaiah 43:18-19 AMP $kss encouragement

““Do not remember the former things, Or ponder the things of the past. “Listen carefully, I am about to do a new thing, Now it will spring forth; Will you not be aware of it? I will even put a road in the wilderness, Rivers in the desert.”
Isaiah 43:18-19 AMP

$kss encouragement
Caleb Harbert (@caleb_harbert) 's Twitter Profile Photo

$kss help: anyone able to comb through 13Fs and see actual holdings? Fintel just updated to 138M of 112M shares owned. Then a paragraph under it says 141M shares owned…

$kss help: anyone able to comb through 13Fs and see actual holdings? Fintel just updated to 138M of 112M shares owned. Then a paragraph under it says 141M shares owned…
Caleb Harbert (@caleb_harbert) 's Twitter Profile Photo

$KSS Institutional Ownership update: Net selling of ~4.3M shares but ownership is shown as 138.6M of 112M shares as of June 30th. Additionally ~12M calls are ITM as of now. This means, if I understand it all correct, ~123% to 134% of all shares are owned/ITM? What am I missing

$KSS Institutional Ownership update:

Net selling of ~4.3M shares but ownership is shown as 138.6M of 112M shares as of June 30th.
Additionally ~12M calls are ITM as of now. 

This means, if I understand it all correct, ~123% to 134% of all shares are owned/ITM? What am I missing
Caleb Harbert (@caleb_harbert) 's Twitter Profile Photo

I’m cool to get the average for $KSS. That’s ~$70/share or even at the low on this is $31/share… imagine Kohl's at 5.3x that’s $180! I like that math! BTW $kss P:BV 0.4x; $OPEN is 3.7x; $DDS 4.2; $TGT 3.13; $M 1.09; $GAP 2.33; $TJX 17.6; $ROST 8.63; Nearest comp is 2.7x current

Caleb Harbert (@caleb_harbert) 's Twitter Profile Photo

$KSS morning encouragement: “Now Elijah said to Ahab, “Go up, eat and drink, for there is the sound of the roar of an abundance of rain.” So Ahab went up to eat and to drink. And Elijah went up to the top of Carmel; and he crouched down to the earth and put his face between his

Caleb Harbert (@caleb_harbert) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Hard to do daily $kss posts since nothing new has come out but lots of earnings of others coming out this week and $kss earnings 8/28. Just a reminder. Even at ~$14 that’s $20 less than tangible book value off CRE bought 20-25+ years ago and depreciated by HALF so far…

Caleb Harbert (@caleb_harbert) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Just a reminder. $KSS debt is dramatically over stated due to GAAP requirements. If you only account for legally obligated debt EV is ~$5.7B so EV/EBITDA is 4.5x not the ~7x reported. Last I looked $TGT is 7x; $TJX 19.51x; $GAP 6.59x; $ROST 14.07x; $DDS 6.92x FMV at 6.59x is

Just a reminder. $KSS debt is dramatically over stated due to GAAP requirements. If you only account for legally obligated debt EV is ~$5.7B so EV/EBITDA is 4.5x not the ~7x reported. Last I looked $TGT is 7x; $TJX 19.51x; $GAP 6.59x; $ROST 14.07x; $DDS 6.92x

FMV at 6.59x is
Caleb Harbert (@caleb_harbert) 's Twitter Profile Photo

$KSS is one of the most asymmetric investments I’ve ever invested in. Its BV is based on CRE that’s depreciated by half! The only other investment like this I’ve seen was $MPC during peak COVID. At the time it was selling Speedway Gas Stations to 7-Eleven for $21B in cash, more

$KSS is one of the most asymmetric investments I’ve ever invested in. Its BV is based on CRE that’s depreciated by half!

The only other investment like this I’ve seen was $MPC during peak COVID. At the time it was selling Speedway Gas Stations to 7-Eleven for $21B in cash, more
Caleb Harbert (@caleb_harbert) 's Twitter Profile Photo

$KSS and Sephora are killing it partnership wise! $TGT and $ULTA announced they're parting ways. To give you comp; $KSS sold in 2024 $1.4B of Sephora while $TGT sold only $431M for $ULTA. KSS had ~1000 stores, TGT 600. $KSS is performing ~2x better! glossy.co/beauty/where-d…

Caleb Harbert (@caleb_harbert) 's Twitter Profile Photo

$kss bear argument Personally I think everything is beyond priced in but in the short term a recession could upset the constant upward momentum. reddit.com/r/KSSBulls/s/c…

Caleb Harbert (@caleb_harbert) 's Twitter Profile Photo

$TGT is my base case for $KSS. Had similar Q1 declines. If Kohl's only declines 2% that is a major earnings beat and shows turning around. $TJX had a 4% sales increase so I'd plan to see $KSS be in this range. Personally hoping we see a much greater beat but not why I'm invested

$TGT is my base case for $KSS. Had similar Q1 declines. If <a href="/Kohls/">Kohl's</a> only declines 2% that is a major earnings beat and shows turning around. $TJX had a 4% sales increase so I'd plan to see $KSS be in this range. Personally hoping we see a much greater beat but not why I'm invested
Caleb Harbert (@caleb_harbert) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Here’s my personal $KSS Bull Thesis. It’s long, has hopium towards the end but lays out how I personally value Kohl's I did the bear argument yesterday and everyone complained and wanted the Bull Case again so here you go! reddit.com/r/KSSBulls/s/5…