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Some interesting Ipsos data shows how some of Labour's underlying polling is actually worse than Miliband's heading into the 2015 general election. But that might not matter, considering how far the Conservatives have tanked theguardian.com/politics/2024/…

Some of the swings in these early council results make for grim reading for the Conservatives. Follow our live #LocalElections2024 results page: theguardian.com/politics/ng-in…

Meantime, here’s an unscientific representation of the current make-up of the Bristol City Council chamber. Slight majority for salt and vinegar (Greens) who have one more bag of crisps than Labour. Tories third, Lib Dem’s fourth…

Some interesting charts from Alex Clark showing how Labour has risen to 20-year-highs in representation in some councils - but in a mixed night, there are others where they lag behind 1997 levels theguardian.com/politics/ng-in…

Good charts

The 2024 local elections, now complete, are mapped and available here: sotn.newstatesman.com/2024/05/britai…

Beyond delighted to have won this at the The Wincott Foundation awards for my reporting on effective altruism and OpenAI w/ producer extraordinaire Matt Russell Audio is always a massive team effort. Thanks to everyone who worked with Matt and me: Tom Kinsella Barney Macintyre Ceri Thomas

Labour’s path to a majority: the seats Starmer needs to win – mapped theguardian.com/politics/ng-in…

my latest with Ashley Kirk 🗺️🔴🔵🟡

Jacob Rees-Mogg: ❌ Jeremy Hunt: ❌ Penny Mordaunt: ❓ Suella Braverman: ✅ Which Tory big beasts are safe — and which are goners? Ashley Kirk and I have visualised what the election forecasts are saying in our latest for The Guardian theguardian.com/politics/ng-in…

A record Lab majority, but with support down in several regions and dozens of seats relying on a split right-wing vote, the result is a lot more complicated #GE2024 analysis w/ a brilliant team Alex Clark, Pamela Duncan & Carmen Aguilar García theguardian.com/politics/ng-in…

Today is Westminster Accounts v2 launch day! The updated tool now includes data and members from both the 2019 and the 2024 parliaments. Huge team effort at Tortoise since the election to make this happen! And, as always, supported by our wonderful partners at Sky News 🙏

Key maps for understanding this summer's UK riots — on the myth of the ‘out-of-town’ rioter The majority of those charged were local to the disorder, our analysis of court records show Read more here: theguardian.com/uk-news/2024/s… w/ Pamela Duncan Carmen Aguilar García Michael Goodier lu

A deep dive into the numbers behind riots and disorder that took place last month by my incredibly talented colleagues Pamela Duncan Carmen Aguilar García Michael Goodier Alex Clark Olivia Lee and, of course, the wisely untwittered Lucy Swan. theguardian.com/uk-news/2024/s…

Finally is out! Incredible effort has gone into this story... Great team-work to gather, analyse and contextualise the data on the rioters theguardian.com/uk-news/2024/s… with Pamela Duncan Michael Goodier Tural Ahmedzade LucySwan Olivia Lee Alex Clark & others

*NEW* here are the key swings that handed Trump the White House 🗳️🇺🇸 our walkthrough analysis of the 2024 US election is now live on The Guardian. we zoom around a mega swing map to show you detailed shifts in the vote theguardian.com/us-news/ng-int… ft Ashley Kirk @craftworksxyz

Our new analysis for The Guardian on the key demographic swings that helped decide the US election. With @craftworksxyz Ashley Kirk Alex Clark theguardian.com/us-news/ng-int…

Interesting trends from counties that swung to Trump: - Dem strongholds didn't hold, Reps' largely did - Ethnically diverse areas swung to Reps - Education remains the divider More from the great, tireless @craftworksxyz Alex Clark Lucy McCormick & team: theguardian.com/us-news/ng-int…