Toghrul Aliyev (@itstoghrul) 's Twitter Profile
Toghrul Aliyev

@itstoghrul

Doctor, Research Analyst at @CCNDotComNews. I focus on crypto and TradFi, delivering insights and knowledge to guide others toward financial freedom.

ID: 1557398025882025985

linkhttps://financial6pack.substack.com calendar_today10-08-2022 16:06:57

660 Tweet

360 Followers

496 Following

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$SPX 2026 likely goes red or gives a weak move. It's because midterm years deliver the weakest S&P 500 performance. From 1871 to 2025, data gives 2026 a 57.89% chance of a green year with an average gain of 2.84%.

$SPX

2026 likely goes red or gives a weak move. 

It's because midterm years deliver the weakest S&P 500 performance.

From 1871 to 2025, data gives 2026 a 57.89% chance of a green year with an average gain of 2.84%.
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A top trader misread $HYPE's vesting schedule. it unlocks about ~$9M worth of tokens daily (~216.58K HYPE) for 365 days if prices hold. Buybacks are ~$1M-$2M daily. It’s dilutive, yes, but not a $9B dump in one day.

A top trader misread $HYPE's vesting schedule. 

it unlocks about ~$9M worth of tokens daily (~216.58K HYPE) for 365 days if prices hold. 

Buybacks are ~$1M-$2M daily. 

It’s dilutive, yes, but not a $9B dump in one day.
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$ZEC Toghrul sends his regards The technology is outstanding, and ZCash will remain one of the most important cryptocurrencies. However, the price has topped. Hopefully, no one bought at the peak. The good news is that a buyback opportunity arises when it drops below $50.

$ZEC

Toghrul sends his regards

The technology is outstanding, and ZCash will remain one of the most important cryptocurrencies. 

However, the price has topped. Hopefully, no one bought at the peak.

The good news is that a buyback opportunity arises when it drops below $50.
Toghrul Aliyev (@itstoghrul) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Yeah, boys and girls, $BTC looks cooked. It should bounce any day now. If it doesn’t, the death cross stats I shared shift a bit. x.com/itsToghrul/sta… The recent 13th death cross would then mark only the 3rd time in history where Bitcoin tanked straight down afterward. I’ve

Yeah, boys and girls, $BTC looks cooked. It should bounce any day now. If it doesn’t, the death cross stats I shared shift a bit.

x.com/itsToghrul/sta…

The recent 13th death cross would then mark only the 3rd time in history where Bitcoin tanked straight down afterward.

I’ve
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The updated fair value for $PYPL per share is now around $100. I expect a low interest rate environment in 2026–2027, which should trigger a strong rally. Until then, the stock will likely trade between $50 and $80 and bore everyone out.

The updated fair value for $PYPL per share is now around $100.

I expect a low interest rate environment in 2026–2027, which should trigger a strong rally.

Until then, the stock will likely trade between $50 and $80 and bore everyone out.
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$ETH / $BTC ratio will likely drop to 0.016-0.0225 If BTC reaches $60K–62K, as I think, that implies ETH would be priced around $960–$1,395. In this scenario, ETH would behave similarly to 2019. Hit the lower log reg trendline in 2026 or dip slightly lower, then bounce.

$ETH / $BTC ratio will likely drop to 0.016-0.0225

If BTC reaches $60K–62K, as I think, that implies ETH would be priced around $960–$1,395.

In this scenario, ETH would behave similarly to 2019. 

Hit the lower log reg trendline in 2026 or dip slightly lower, then bounce.
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I calculated $BTC return by presidential cycle too, and surprisingly, they match (who would have thought?). I excluded 2009–2012 due to unrealistic 40,000% returns, but even 2013–2017 showed thousands of percent returns. Going forward, I expect yearly returns between 20–60%.

I calculated $BTC return by presidential cycle too, and surprisingly, they match (who would have thought?). 

I excluded 2009–2012 due to unrealistic 40,000% returns, but even 2013–2017 showed thousands of percent returns. Going forward, I expect yearly returns between 20–60%.
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It is with immense delight, and a sprinkle of mischief, that I stand before you tonight, bedazzled and breathless, to declare… The Fourth Bear Market — OPEN!

Toghrul Aliyev (@itstoghrul) 's Twitter Profile Photo

$MSTR will likely bottom around the 0.236 from the 2000 to 2002 bottom and the 0.886 from the 2002 bottom to the 2025 high. Wait for everyone to call it a Ponzi and Saylor the next SBF while it crashes 80–90%, before rallying with the same aggressiveness as it did in 2022.

$MSTR will likely bottom around the 0.236 from the 2000 to 2002 bottom and the 0.886 from the 2002 bottom to the 2025 high.

Wait for everyone to call it a Ponzi and Saylor the next SBF while it crashes 80–90%, before rallying with the same aggressiveness as it did in 2022.
Killa (@killaxbt) 's Twitter Profile Photo

$BTC You want to know whats so rigged about this? When they’re building IBIT holdings, they buy $BTC OTC, keeping the price unaffected. But the moment retail starts to panic... BlackRock move BTC to Coinbase and dump the holdings open market, so the selling directly affects