Mike Beuoy (@inpredict) 's Twitter Profile
Mike Beuoy

@inpredict

actuary | creator of inpredictable.com | co-creator of evollve.net |
you can also find me at bsky under the same handle

ID: 1615645123

linkhttp://www.inpredictable.com calendar_today23-07-2013 16:27:02

9,9K Tweet

15,15K Followers

479 Following

Alok Pattani (@alokpattani) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Excited for 1st #NBAFinals Game 7 in 9 yrs! 2nd-longest span b/w Finals Game 7s in NBA history (11 yrs from 1994 to 2005). Last 4 have been competitive, albeit more "rock fights" than beautiful basketball. Hoping for a great one! (Big 👏 to Mike Beuoy for all win prob graphs!)

Excited for 1st #NBAFinals Game 7 in 9 yrs! 2nd-longest span b/w Finals Game 7s in <a href="/NBA/">NBA</a> history (11 yrs from 1994 to 2005). Last 4 have been competitive, albeit more "rock fights" than beautiful basketball. Hoping for a great one!

(Big 👏 to <a href="/inpredict/">Mike Beuoy</a> for all win prob graphs!)
Sam Hoppen (@samhoppen) 's Twitter Profile Photo

New #WNBA Composite Power Ratings! I've added Basketball Reference's Simple Rating System (SRS) this week! Sources ESPN: BPI Mike Beuoy: Inpredictable Positive Residual: Positive Residual Basketball Reference: SRS

New #WNBA Composite Power Ratings! I've added Basketball Reference's Simple Rating System (SRS) this week!

Sources
<a href="/espn/">ESPN</a>: BPI
<a href="/inpredict/">Mike Beuoy</a>: Inpredictable
<a href="/presidual/">Positive Residual</a>: Positive Residual
<a href="/bball_ref/">Basketball Reference</a>: SRS
Max Bay (@choice_fielder) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Come work with me! The Dodgers Quantitative Analysis team is hiring a full-time Quantitative Analyst! This role is central to the organization’s decision making. You’ll be responsible for developing and deploying models that make us better. See final post in thread for app link.

Come work with me!  The Dodgers Quantitative Analysis team is hiring a full-time Quantitative Analyst! This role is central to the organization’s decision making. You’ll be responsible for developing and deploying models that make us better. See final post in thread for app link.
Shea Serrano (@sheaserrano) 's Twitter Profile Photo

just try to make stuff that moves you that’s really all that matters you can’t worry about the outside response you gotta just focus on how you feel about the thing you’re making if you think it’s good and cool then it’s a success

ESPN (@espn) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Katie Schumacher-Cawley wins the 2025 Jimmy V Perseverance Award ❤️ A powerful story and even more powerful speech 👏

Dr. Catharine Young (@catgyoung) 's Twitter Profile Photo

I cannot stress this enough: pairing a 4% funding line with the largest cut in NCI history will devastate the future of cancer research - and patients. We would be turning our backs on decades of progress.

I cannot stress this enough: pairing a 4% funding line with the largest cut in NCI history will devastate the future of cancer research - and patients. We would be turning our backs on decades of progress.
Mike Beuoy (@inpredict) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Cool chart. It would be interesting to see how things would compare based on marginal win probability. For example, a one goal lead at halftime in soccer is equivalent to an [x] point lead at halftime in the NBA - equivalent in terms of expected win probability.

Mike Beuoy (@inpredict) 's Twitter Profile Photo

If you count a draw as half a win, and using my soccer and NBA win probability calculators: A 1 goal lead at halftime in a soccer game is roughly equivalent to a 9 point lead at halftime in the NBA.

If you count a draw as half a win, and using my soccer and NBA win probability calculators:  

A 1 goal lead at halftime in a soccer game is roughly equivalent to a 9 point lead at halftime in the NBA.
Todd Whitehead (@crumpledjumper) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Average "hold time" - the time between the catch and the decision to dribble, pass or shoot - for some of the league's best offensive initiators.

Average "hold time" - the time between the catch and the decision to dribble, pass or shoot - for some of the league's best offensive initiators.