Yes I missed the $100K top, thanks to China mining ban, inflation and war (which are obviously not variables in my simple S2F mode)l. But I did warn of a crash comparable to 2014 and 2018 after the top. You can find the Dec 2021 familyoffice interview on planbtc.com

Realized losses are not of the scale we've seen in June, indicating we might be in a late stage bear market similar to 2015 (blue box) where we rejected the Realized Price twice. #Bitcoin Short 🧵👇

Illiquid Supply level not seen since 2014. Probably nothing. #Bitcoin

I have 70+ years of Astro data downloaded from NASA. The max elongation in that data set marked the COVID low to the day. Yeah it’s pretty good.

this was my best place on 4th of June 2024:

this was my highest amout on 11th of June:

and this was my biggest mistake, even tough I was short into FOMC meeting on Wednesday 12th of June , I reverted the whole position to "LONG" , to reach 70k to 71k , this position "killed" me , down to: 55k ..... :-(

then manage it again back to end here: