Giles Coghlan, CMT (@gilescoghlancca) 's Twitter Profile
Giles Coghlan, CMT

@gilescoghlancca

Chief Market Analyst @ GCFX.Featured on Reuters, Bloomberg, CNBC,BBC & Wall Street Journal. Financial Source Macro Strategist. Not trading advice.

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linkhttp://gilescoghlanfx.com calendar_today16-11-2009 21:07:24

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Around the world, yields are pushing up, and what investors are concerned about is that inflation is still pretty resilient. With a number of central banks moving towards cutting interest rates it raises concern among investors #inflation #interestrates #futures

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Tariff Liberation Day has been potentially blocked by the Court of International Trade, who said that US President Trump was acting outside of his authority to implement these tariffs. So as a result, we've seen a strong reaction initially, with markets absolutely surging higher

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It takes the entire world—barring three countries—to match America and China’s combined GDP. Check out the breakdown here. visualcapitalist.com/u-s-and-chinas… via @visualcap

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The oil market was buzzing after OPEC+ revealed its keeping production increases in line with market expectations. As we move forward, all eyes will be on OPEC+ to see if they continue to maintain this strategic balance #OilMarket #OPECplus #MarketTrends

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The bond market is closely tied to interest rate expectations. For example, Consider the non-farm payroll report. A significant miss (poor job growth) might suggest a higher likelihood of rate cuts, prompting traders to buy bonds in anticipation. #Bonds #InterestRates #futures

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Positive news recently! Chinese President Xi urged the US to remove negative measures and enhance economic cooperation. This could be a game changer for trade relations! With the bullish sentiment I took long positions as sellers got trapped. #Trading #USChinaRelations #futures

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Today's #NFP distribution. The weak #ADP print this week has set the mood, but remember there is little correlation between the ADP and the NFP #Jobs #USD #SP500 #emini

Today's #NFP distribution. The weak #ADP print this week has set the mood, but remember there is little correlation between the ADP and the NFP

#Jobs #USD #SP500 #emini
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The Russell 2000 is widely viewed as a key gauge of domestic US company performance, in contrast to the more globally exposed S&P 500 Following Friday’s strong non-farm payrolls, the Russell 2000 continued to push higher — signaling confidence in the US domestic economy #Futures

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Bollinger Band Breakout Strategy When price breaks above the upper Bollinger Band with rising volume, it's a strong long signal. In silver, both price and on-balance volume are making new highs—clear momentum #TradingTips #BollingerBands #TechnicalAnalysis #futures

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Scenario 1 – Dovish Jobs Data If NFP < 70k, Unempl ≥ 4.4%, Avg Earnings ≤ 3.8% → Market screams slowdown. 🔼 $GBPUSD, $EURUSD bid on dovish Fed repricing 🔽 $SPX likely sells off on soft growth signals #NFP #Forex #FOMC #SP500

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Scenario 2 – Hot Jobs Data Blowout NFP > 145k, Unempl ≤ 4.2%, Wages ≥ 3.9% → Fed stays patient. 🔻 $EURUSD pressured as yields firm 🔼 $SPX cheers soft landing narrative, buyers step in #NFP #USD #Stocks #Macro

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Post-Fed intrady - trading roadmap: If Inflation ↓ = $USD dumps → $EURUSD / Gold longs If GDP ↑ = $USD strength → $EURUSD down If Jobs ↑ = $USD higher-for-longer → $EURUSD down Medium-term: EUR/USD buy bias as ECB pauses. Trade the data → not the noise.

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🚨 Friday’s PCE print = big trading setup 👇 Fed says 2% inflation won’t return until 2028. But Trueflation shows 2% NOW. If Core PCE drops to 2.4% or lower: 💶 EUR/USD rallies (watch 1.1700) 🥇 Gold jumps 📉 Yields fall Is the Fed behind the curve? #trading #forex #gold

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US CPI 📉 US Headline CPI m/m (Oct): 0.1% or lower 📉 US Headline CPI y/y (Oct): 2.8% or lower 📉 US Core CPI m/m (Oct): 0.1% or lower 📉 US Core CPI y/y (Oct): 2.9% or lower …and the priors unchanged or revised lower, ➡️ then expect #EURUSD buying and #Gold buying at market

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📊 Most traders misread the Fed’s Dot Plot In my new video, I break down how to interpret the dots, the median, the range & the surprise that actually moves markets Watch before the next Fed meeting.👇 #Fed #FOMC #DotPlot #Trading #Forex #USD #Macro #Markets #EURUSD #USDJPY

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📊 Want to trade ES futures live — with structure + pro-coaching? I run a room M–F, 2–4PM UK: ✅ Real-time setups ✅ Prop firm help ✅ Macro prep + structure $199/month 👉 bit.ly/4j9l2te #futures #daytrading #livetrading #propfirm #ES #marketprofile #delta #macro

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US CPI today. Jobs were strong this week — but the dollar didn’t extend. Best opportunity = weak CPI If we see • Core m/m ≤ 0.1% • Core y/y ≤ 2.3% • Headline m/m ≤ 0.1% • Headline y/y ≤ 2.2% • Priors unchanged → EURUSD buy → Target 1.200 #CPI #EURUSD #USD #trading