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Despite the president's campaign promises, the Trump administration is implementing a policy agenda across government services, taxation, and trade that will make working-class Americans pay more for less gelliottmorris.com/p/republicans-…

I'm starting to plan the questions for our second Strength In Numbers/Verasight survey, coming mid-June. We want the poll to be collaborative and transparent, to increase trust in polls and help people understand the full polling process. Use this form: gelliottmorris.com/survey/3050926

i'd like to see a (non-fascist) political movement to restart the CCC, w mandatory 1-year service for young men on their 18th birthday. it could do a lot of good. increase in positive aspects of patriotism, build social ties, decrease polarization, build infrastructure and so on

i am going to (perhaps regretfully) wade back into the debate about how much democrats should position themselves relative to the polls -- tomorrow at gelliottmorris.com/subscribe/ (for paying subscribers)

Young voters shifted dramatically toward Republicans in 2024. But now their net approval rating of Trump's job as president (-20) is back to their vote margin for him in 2020. Dems have to figure out how to capitalize on that. Economics likely the key economist.com/interactive/tr…

Put another way: gelliottmorris.com/p/chart-of-the…

Important to have a passion in life

a Indiana vs Oklahoma finals. Democrats in disarray

what's the viability of a Tester - Peltola ticket?

This. So much overinterpretation of 2024, esp re: messaging battles and "Dems need a Rogan!" takes, stems from an apparent wilful ignorance of the fact that voters don't like it when inflation is at 2% for 50 years and then goes up to 10% in 12 months. That's gonna shift the mean

good context

FYI for people reading Trump approval averages: We adjust polls to the population of all adults so we can make accurate historical comparisons. Polls of all adults tend to be more negative for incumbents and have higher Don't Know rates. Other avgs do not do this & end up higher

i guarantee you democrats have pitched their young men outreach podcast host gig to timothée

this post goes live on monday at 8:00 AM. i imagine it's going to piss off a lot of people on blue sky, but i think it's an important point gelliottmorris.com/p/many-trump-s…