The high prob outcome on $BTC played out and the handle starting to take shape now.

$BTC clear channel forming now on the handle pattern. You really cant turn bullish until you see some bullish shape (higher low) inside the channel. Patience.

$BTC bpunced on channel supp. For bullish shape to play out you want to see $BTC reject at channel res and then put in a higher low inside the channel over next 4-6 weeks.

Markets testing all time highs on the supposedly imminent threat of WW3 and nuclear armageddon.

I've always believed it's the high level public servants, the career politicans influenced by lobbyists that make up policy. Under Trump I thought it would be different but the deep state is too deeply entrenched. He should now just focus on his pet projects like every other US

$BTC didn't take long to push into channel resistance, now we want to see some bullish shape on the recoil for conviction.

If gold doesn't hold here the 200d ema ( red line) comes into play.

$BTC rejecting at channel res now, let's see if we get the bullish shape.

$ETH consolidating after reclaiming the longterm trendline. Theres so much left hand overhang that it needs to absorb so might contract and range here for a tad longer but that last fake out and recovery to the downside is traditionally bullish. From failed moves come explosive

The $SOL chart is very sloppy but it held support and generating a shortterm buy signal here, that said it's a low conviction trade. There's better and higher prob opportunities (patterns) elsewhere.

90d bill didn't budge and a second rate cut in August is a certainty now. It's been priced in for months.

Clean break on $ETH from contraction pattern. Lets see if it kicks on.

From failed moves come explosive moves. Good ol fake and break pattern on $ETH.

$ETH clean break now. Lets see if it kicks on.

$BTC most likely scenario is clip that orange line and then break up.

Major trenline breach on gold, if it doesn't hold here there's a vacuum below and could get ugly.

There's the TL clip on $BTC. Needs to hold here, move into the pointy end and break up for validation to go long.

$BTC clipped the orange line and broke up as expected. Textbook high prob play. Lets see if it kicks on.

$125,000,000 in shorts liquidated. From failed moves come explosive moves. $ETH testing all time highs.

If $BTC doesn't hold here the 200d (red line) comes into play and then we move into medium term distribution pattern. Gut feel is we get a deleveraging stop hunt here.