The MFA statement (unhelpfully) repeats its "three principles" for STS from April 2024, ie, its position. But that seems to be throat clearing before acknowledging the "temporary agreement" Regardless, proof is in the pudding during the next resupply

Here's the NBER working paper with the details and analysis: nber.org/papers/w32468

Watching this space

for gods sake build one in boston

Also, not a secret!

Influential 🇨🇳scholars and policy practitioners differ widely on whether 🇺🇸 is in terminal decline and whether the global order is shifting in China’s favour. What the key arguments are from their perspectives, find it out from my Chatham House paper⬇️ chathamhouse.org/2024/07/china-…

Philippines says China mischaracterised South China Sea deal reuters.com/world/asia-pac…

Excited to kick off our MIT SSP Wargaming Lab Summer Institute! Last night we opened with a national security crisis simulation and started today with classes by Eric Heginbotham and Jacquelyn Schneider!

Remember that China recognized the Hamas-led Palestinian government in 2006 and backed the Fatah-Hamas unity government in 2014, so this is not a new position for Beijing.

I am pleased to share the launch of the Asia Society Policy Institute (ASPI)'s Taiwan Policy Database (TPD) - a one-of-a-kind website housing one of the largest English language resources of original source documents, agreements, laws and exchanges on Taiwan policy from the perspective of China, Taiwan

Great opportunity for young China analysts and graduate students

M. Taylor Fravel, George J. Gilboy, and Eric Heginbotham estimate that China's 2024 defense spending is equivalent to about $471 billion, compared to U.S. 2024 defense spending of about $1.3 trillion. tnsr.org/2024/06/estima…

Did China just demote its defense ministry? - Defense One defenseone.com/ideas/2024/08/…

Great article! Why isn't Defense Minister Dong Jun a member of the Central Military Commission, like his predecessors? I don't know but here's my speculation: Dong is a different type of appointee than most ministers of defense. For at least the past 20 years, it's probably been

Congrats, Aidan Milliff! cc: MIT SSP

Yoram Evron on professionalism vs political control in China's armed forces eastasiaforum.org/2024/08/15/xi-…

On Horns of a Dilemma, Rick Landgraf talks with the authors of the recent TNSR article, "Estimating China's Defense Spending: How to Get It Wrong (and Right)." warontherocks.com/2024/08/estima…

#ICYMI we just put out an episode on U.S.-Taiwan ties with M. Taylor Fravel. The U.S. has traditionally adopted a policy of strategic ambiguity, but proponents of strategic clarity have been increasingly vocal. Find out the different case for each approach in our newest episode.

I'm delighted to announce that MIT SSP has received a transformative gift from the Stanton Foundation to create a Center for Nuclear Security Policy. And even more delighted that my long-time colleague, Vipin Narang, will serve as its first director. news.mit.edu/2024/mit-secur…

I'm presenting my job market paper at #APSA2024 (10am Sun)! I'm on the market this year, and the paper draws from my dissertation project, which shows how CN shapes int'l order by commandeering the existing rules, rather than overturning them or building new institutions 1/