While conditions are supporting less tropical activity than normal for the time being, now is a great time to stock up and prepare for what might come later in the season. Find out how you can prepare and remain Weather-Ready at weather.gov/wrn/hurricane-… and ready.gov/kit

Some tropical stuff. Since 2010 there have been 19 Hurricanes impact the US in the months of Sep/Oct/Nov. Of those, 8 were in Oct/Nov. In ENSO Neutral/LaNina years, which we are in, 17 of the 19 occurred, and 7 of the 8 in Oct/Nov. History says the season is not over. We will

Watching that far Atlantic wave as we near peak season. Latest models on tropicialtidbits.com here. GFS and EURO both develop. Both curve north. Pattern we have seen all year. Ensembles are always watched closer this far away. Typical fanning out of options down the road. If

Monday AM EURO/GFS ensembles. A stronger far Atlantic wave likely curves. A weaker wave likely slides more west. Over a week away before it would near the islands (if it even does). No stress yet on this one. Enjoy your Hurricane free Labor Day! spaghettimodels.com

9/1 2pm EDT: A tropical wave over the far eastern Atlantic has a 50% chance of formation over the next 7 days as it moves westward to west-northwestward at around 15 mph across the tropical Atlantic. See hurricanes.gov for the latest updates.

Latest Thursday afternoon NHC update on Invest 91. Development cone has shifted more south and west. Chances up to 90%. Caribbean should be watching close. GFS/EURO showing close there midweek next week. GFS Hurricane. EURO much weaker. Both have been bouncing around ideas on

First run of spaghetti models here for Invest 91 on tropicaltidbits.com. General west flow the next 7 days here. Models all over the place after. Some fizzle. Some strong. Some curve. Wish it was clear. But it is not. Being honest. spaghettimodels.com

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8 pm ET Sep 4: A tropical depression is likely to form over the central tropical Atlantic by this weekend. The system could be near the Lesser Antilles by the middle to latter part of next week. Formation chances: Next 2 days:🟠 Medium (60%) Next 7 days:🔴 High (90%) Visit

Friday afternoon NHC update on Invest 91. Chances down to 70%. Dry air mentioned as one reason why. Maybe down the road. But models are trending NO. We will sea. And yes things can always change in the tropics. Never say never. But hey. The weekend is here. Have some fun! I will

I was a couple of years out of college and still living in Raleigh when Fran blew through. She was a beast.

At this time in 1996, Category 3 Hurricane Fran was barreling across the southeastern shores of North Carolina with winds of 115 mph. A Major Hurricane has not made landfall in the Carolinas since.

Saturday AM NHC Tropical Update. The yellow crayon is back. Invest 91 chances went way way down. Now only 30%. Dry air wins. EURO wins. Nothing else on the NHC radar to watch officially. Enjoy the weekend. Go Rays. Go Bucs. Tired of looking at isobars. Heading to the sandbar.

8 AM ET Saturday Sep 6: NHC continues to monitor a tropical wave over the central tropical Atlantic. Environmental conditions have become only marginally conducive for further development, and the chances of this system becoming a tropical depression are decreasing. Follow the

🌀Certainly a different scene this AM compared to 29 years ago after the last major (Cat 3+) hurricane to strike the area occurred! Share your stories! 💻weather.gov/ilm/HurricaneF… 🌡️For today, warm one w/ heat indices near 100 degrees. 💻weather.gov/ilm/heat #ncwx #ilmwx #Fran

Precipitable water map here. Shows that upper low spinning in the Gulf west of Florida. Nothing 'tropical' as far as formation. But will spin 'tropical' feeling rains again today and tomorrow. Red is moist air. Purple is extra moist air. Gives idea why the rain chances are high

NHC: 20% Chance of Development Accuweather: Cat 1 Hurricane, “Storm Max” 100 mph. The most remarkable double down I think I’ve ever seen.

This is 100% inaccurate shame on AccuWeather

Invest 91L is not expected to develop in the central Atlantic. Surprisingly the rest of the tropical Atlantic is quiet four days from the climatological peak of the hurricane season. #WECTwx #ILMwx