All versions I found of the Samual Benner cycles were blurry and hard to read, so I made this. Save to Journal + retweet if you're getting #value #pma4tw therationalinvestor.com

If you want me to keep running these threads, like and retweet! 🫡 👇🔥 capitalflows.substack.com

$VIX possible inverted H&S on the 2023 Yearly S1 pivot points. ⚠ $VXX $UVXY

I'm just going to leave this one here... $SPX 👀

Yikes!

The Chinese New Year is this weekend! Did you know it is the Year of the Dragon? Now did you know that historically stocks do much better under horned animals? Dragons have horns, so you're telling me there's a chance? (Yeah, I know 😁) 🐲🐉 #YearofDragon

Dollar and oil and stocks are all high. This is not gonna end well. One of them is gonna collapse.

Today's market summary

FED Rate cuts? Not so fast... The official data the National Bureau of Economic Research (the arbiters of recession declarations, also known as NBER) are looking at to determine the coincident (current) status of the U.S economy, shows the economy may be slowing, but its not

Opening For Bears or Shocking Stock Rally? Details, Studies, and Scores: ccmmarketmodel.com/short-takes/be… #Yen #YenCarryTrade $VIX #VIX #FirstRateCut #FOMC #Economy #HardLanding #SoftLanding #Recession $QQQ $XLK $SCHG $VUG $XLP $TLT $IEF $IEI ¥ $SMH $IYR $VNQ $XLRE $XLV $XLU

It appears this SP500 buy-the-dip is being bought hard. The Gen2 probability model is estimating we have legs approaching 5,766 if we follow the bog-standard 25-year average short-term trade gains plus one standard deviation (which has been happening a lot lately). Assuming

So you’re not short bonds into FOMC ? GL anon

SP500 Rally keeps going hard. Statistical odds of a short-term top remain low however. Trailing stop keeps rising and updated. If indicated stop is breached there is 78% confidence the trend will have switched. join.recessionalert.com

The line in the sand will hold until after Labor day holidays at least😃Last 5 sessions have been tricky.

On May 12 I noted that various advance/decline lines were suggesting a summer rally. Yes, yield curves, PMIs, wars, elections, etc were all out there and had many investors on edge. I learned a long time ago that breadth leads price, this was another reminder of this.

Why does the market keep going up? Cause they keep buying it. Why do they keep buying it? Cause it keeps going up.

Vibes for Sunday night 🤌🏻

When you nail multiple trades in a row

2024 is a crime scene.

i3 TOP Value vs Growth Weekly Portfolio – A Recap I’m very satisfied with the portfolio’s performance, as it has returned to a strong spread relative to the S&P 500. Since June 2024, the portfolio is up 27.91%, compared to 13.37% for the S&P 500 (as of the market open on June